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Prediction markets for Storm
Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Apr 9, 7:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
144748
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
47
9
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
1078
882
Will "Solar Storms" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Mar 8, 11:55 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
4.93%chance
82390
OptionVotes
2676
852
Will Mikael Akerfeldt and Steven Wilson work on a successor of Storm Corrosion in May 2026?
Feb 17, 8:30 PMDec 31, 12:59 AM
97.11%chance
51495
OptionVotes
580
17
Will a Carrington-like event solar storm hit Earth before 2030?
Mar 19, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.14%chance
12995
OptionVotes
1521
905
Will there be another G5 class geomagnetic storm from a solar flare during Solar Cycle 25?
May 11, 3:17 PMMay 12, 6:59 AM
50%chance
10819
OptionVotes
100
100
OptionVotes
472
21
Will a solar storm at least as powerful as the Carrington Event hit Earth before superintelligence is created?
Feb 29, 12:57 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
26.44%chance
22654
OptionVotes
1332
842
Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
Mar 19, 1:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
38%chance
11278
OptionVotes
215
191
Will Storm Ascher (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 20, 1:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.33%chance
8175
OptionVotes
264
156
Will another Atlantic named storm (Kyle) form before December 1, 2026?
Oct 26, 3:22 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
48.59%chance
6138
OptionVotes
124
65
OptionProbability
44
28
28
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