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Prediction markets for Strictly
OptionProbability
82
69
55
39
36
35
17
14
10
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 (less strict criteria market)
Jul 2, 8:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.12%chance
22089937
OptionVotes
16786
850
Will the Nati'l Institute on Alcohol Abuse & Alcoholism & CDC introduce stricter alcohol consumption guidelines by 2025?
Aug 26, 3:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.81%chance
393721
OptionVotes
2769
481
Will Israel have stricter laws against homosexuality than Saudi Arabia by 2040?
Nov 5, 3:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.14%chance
92300
OptionVotes
2690
372
If the progress of AI experiences a slowdown before 2030, what might be the cause?
Oct 14, 3:42 PMOct 21, 6:29 PM
351047
OptionProbability
81
72
59
57
39
23
13
Will the WHO Global Air Quality Guidelines set stricter recommendations for PM2.5 and PM10 air pollution before 2030?
Feb 28, 12:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
68.81%chance
8519
OptionVotes
961
442
In 2028, will Democrat voters express more support for strict regulation of AI than Republican voters?
Jun 4, 8:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
50%chance
6237
OptionVotes
234
144
Number of countries with strict Sharia law implementation by December 31, 2030
Oct 27, 7:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5118
OptionProbability
66
16
15
3
OptionProbability
55
50
50
50
34
34
24
In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?
Jun 20, 8:24 PMJan 31, 8:59 PM
525
OptionProbability
68
16
14
1
0
Will Jagdeep do a strict handstand pike press before his robot will?
Oct 16, 12:57 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM
50.12%chance
210
OptionVotes
100
100
Will the west propose strict immigration rules? And take strict action
Dec 8, 4:33 AMDec 10, 6:29 PM
47.09%chance
03
OptionVotes
61
55
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