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Top stories

Duolingo Lifts 2025 Outlook on 41% Sales Surge, Buys Music Startup

Company Earnings

Duolingo Lifts 2025 Outlook on 41% Sales Surge, Buys Music Startup

Authors

30

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Super

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

56%chance

18591362916

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4896

3843

By when will a second Starship / Super Heavy launch tower be operational?

Jun 10, 1:50 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM

37140249

OptionProbability

Flight 15

Flight 12

2026-01-01

Flight 11

Flight 10

2024-09-01

2025-01-01

2025-07-01

Flight 7

2025-03-01

95

80

71

21

2

0

0

0

0

0

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Jun 19, 11:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.32%chance

7312215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1435

697

Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?

Mar 28, 12:16 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

57.48%chance

545705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

796

Will an LLM beat a Super GM Bot on chess.com by 2028?

Jun 19, 10:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.9%chance

164075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

998

Will a human complete a Perfect Run of Super Mario Bros like @summoningsalt predicts by EOY 2030

Feb 8, 2:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.94%chance

272955

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2248

1874

Will a Boom Supersonic beat SpaceX to COMMERCIAL super-sonic suborbital flight? (see description for terms)

Dec 9, 4:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.83%chance

121672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

970

If there exists a super-intelligent AI, would majority of AI researchers answer Yes to "Have we reached AGI?" ?

Jul 3, 5:50 AMDec 31, 6:29 AM

55.02%chance

241067

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1134

688

Will someone be able to play Super Smash Bros directly with the Neuralink as a controller by the end of 2034?

Mar 21, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.85%chance

18992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

634

Will the champions of Super Bowl LX visit the White House after their win?

Feb 24, 2:53 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM

53.68%chance

7409

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1077

929

Will the next Super Bowl winning QB be from Texas?

Feb 10, 6:41 PMFeb 9, 4:59 AM

41.9%chance

4301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1178

849

Will [AFC Team] beat the [NFC Team]? 🏈 Super Bowl LX

Feb 10, 8:43 PMFeb 9, 4:59 AM

50.69%chance

3118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

986

Latest stories

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Aug 6, 2025
Aug 6, 2025
Company Earnings
Stocks
AI Products
Duolingo Lifts 2025 Outlook on 41% Sales Surge, Buys Music Startup
Authors
30
3 days ago

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