Super News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Super
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
56%chance
18591362916
OptionVotes
4896
3843
By when will a second Starship / Super Heavy launch tower be operational?
Jun 10, 1:50 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM
37140249
OptionProbability
95
80
71
21
2
0
0
0
0
0
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Jun 19, 11:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
67.32%chance
7312215
OptionVotes
1435
697
Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
Mar 28, 12:16 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
57.48%chance
545705
OptionVotes
1064
796
Will an LLM beat a Super GM Bot on chess.com by 2028?
Jun 19, 10:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.9%chance
164075
OptionVotes
1002
998
Will a human complete a Perfect Run of Super Mario Bros like @summoningsalt predicts by EOY 2030
Feb 8, 2:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
84.94%chance
272955
OptionVotes
2248
1874
Will a Boom Supersonic beat SpaceX to COMMERCIAL super-sonic suborbital flight? (see description for terms)
Dec 9, 4:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
39.83%chance
121672
OptionVotes
1011
970
If there exists a super-intelligent AI, would majority of AI researchers answer Yes to "Have we reached AGI?" ?
Jul 3, 5:50 AMDec 31, 6:29 AM
55.02%chance
241067
OptionVotes
1134
688
Will someone be able to play Super Smash Bros directly with the Neuralink as a controller by the end of 2034?
Mar 21, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
78.85%chance
18992
OptionVotes
1018
634
Will the champions of Super Bowl LX visit the White House after their win?
Feb 24, 2:53 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM
53.68%chance
7409
OptionVotes
1077
929
OptionVotes
1178
849
OptionVotes
1014
986
Latest stories
Latest stories