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Prediction markets for Supervised
Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?
Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM
12.59%chance
24569450
OptionVotes
2232
675
After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?
Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM
23029047
OptionProbability
32
29
24
5
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
54
31
8
5
3
OptionProbability
44
35
21
1
OptionProbability
55
50
46
42
31
5
0
End of pre-training era for language models: Will an LM fine-tune for more FLOPs than it is pre-trained for, before 2026
May 5, 11:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
36.84%chance
242303
OptionVotes
1098
735
GPT-Zero: By 2030, will anyone develop an AI with a massive GPT-like knowledge base that it taught itself?
Jun 1, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.93%chance
23884
OptionVotes
1144
495
who will win Santa Barbara County Board of Supervisors election, District 2 on June 2nd 2026
Apr 21, 10:37 PMJun 3, 11:59 PM
6680
OptionProbability
64
33
3
Will the position of AI Humanoid Robots Supervisor exist and be hot by 2028?
Jan 31, 10:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
14.93%chance
15513
OptionVotes
1208
932
OptionProbability
53
44
2
1
OptionProbability
33
28
15
15
5
3