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NFL and Microsoft Deploy Copilot AI and Azure on 2,500 Surface Tablets Across 32 Teams for Real-Time Strategy and Recruitment

1 year ago

[ACX 2026] What will the average global surface air temperature be in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?

Jan 7, 12:00 AMJan 7, 7:59 AM

1412658

OptionProbability

1.40 - 1.50°C

1.50 - 1.60°C

1.30 - 1.40°C

1.20 - 1.30°C

1.60 - 1.70°C

Below 1.2°C

1.70 - 1.75°C

Above 1.75°C

Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?

Jan 10, 2:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39%chance

252880

OptionVotes

YES

1450

455

The next American mission that lands a human on the surface of the Moon won't involve SLS

Apr 20, 1:05 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

34.03%chance

252059

OptionVotes

YES

1065

957

Will NASA's Europa Clipper discover organic compounds either in plumes or on the surface?

Oct 18, 1:06 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

81.74%chance

191638

OptionVotes

YES

2116

473

Will Ohio billionaire Larry Connor go to 'Titanic-level depths' and go back to the surface alive by EOY 2030 ?

May 28, 10:51 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

75.29%chance

61260

OptionVotes

YES

1745

573

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.51%chance

211148

OptionVotes

YES

1140

877

Will any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?

Dec 11, 8:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.86%chance

21764

OptionVotes

YES

1164

804

Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?

Jul 11, 3:56 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50.54%chance

14568

OptionVotes

YES

1175

786

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

15.65%chance

8466

OptionVotes

YES

226

119

Will humans land on Mars and lift off from its surface to an altitude of at least 10 km by 2041?

Aug 7, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.77%chance

11305

OptionVotes

YES

204

178

Will the first 10 person, 1 year human habitat on Mars be on the surface?

Nov 10, 6:48 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

66.56%chance

10126

OptionVotes

YES

1100

940

Will "Can activation verbalizers surface an interna..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 8, 5:24 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

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NFL and Microsoft Deploy Copilot AI and Azure on 2,500 Surface Tablets Across 32 Teams for Real-Time Strategy and Recruitment
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[ACX 2026] What will the average global surface air temperature be in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?

Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?

The next American mission that lands a human on the surface of the Moon won't involve SLS

Will NASA's Europa Clipper discover organic compounds either in plumes or on the surface?

Will Ohio billionaire Larry Connor go to 'Titanic-level depths' and go back to the surface alive by EOY 2030 ?

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Will any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?

Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Will humans land on Mars and lift off from its surface to an altitude of at least 10 km by 2041?

Will the first 10 person, 1 year human habitat on Mars be on the surface?

Will "Can activation verbalizers surface an interna..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Latest stories

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