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Top stories

Chinese Taipei Wins 2025 Little League World Series, Defeating U.S. Champion Summerlin South 7-0 Led by Lin Chin-Tse

Chinese Taipei Wins 2025 Little League World Series, Defeating U.S. Champion Summerlin South 7-0 Led by Lin Chin-Tse

Authors

23

5 months ago

US Commerce Secretary Lutnick Cites National Security, Urges Domestic Chip Manufacturing Over Taiwan Reliance

US Commerce Secretary Lutnick Cites National Security, Urges Domestic Chip Manufacturing Over Taiwan Reliance

Authors

10

6 months ago

China Condemns Taiwan DPP's Denial of Communist Role in WWII as 'Blasphemy,' Highlights Ma Zhaoxu's Remarks

China Condemns Taiwan DPP's Denial of Communist Role in WWII as 'Blasphemy,' Highlights Ma Zhaoxu's Remarks

Authors

6

5 months ago

Taiwan Indicts Three Former and Current TSMC Employees for Theft of 2nm Secrets to Aid Tokyo Electron, Prison Sentences Sought

Authors

17

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Taiwanese

Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030?

Sep 4, 1:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.08%chance

13652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

613

517

Will the Taiwanese Representative Office in Vilnius change its name in the following year?

Jan 28, 3:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 PM

2335

OptionProbability

Not before 2030

2025

2026

2027

2028

2028

2029

2024

20

13

13

13

13

13

13

1

Will the US accuse the PRC of putting Taiwanese people into Concentration Camps any time through 2028?

Sep 11, 1:10 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

24.51%chance

9260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

88

Will China go to war with Taiwan before the DPP loses the Taiwanese presidency

Mar 29, 11:18 AMDec 6, 4:59 AM

39.47%chance

8212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

212

Will the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028

Sep 25, 9:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.23%chance

5132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

94

Will Charles III of the UK et al meet a senior Taiwanese leader before the end of his reign?

Aug 17, 10:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.11%chance

5127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

117

Will Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te visit Kinmen or Matsu between January 2026 and April 2028?

Jan 5, 6:42 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

50%chance

2122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

At least 2m Taiwanese citizens are physically relocated to the mainland by the PRC through 2033

Sep 4, 9:14 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

14.23%chance

4120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

89

Will a Taiwanese armed forces pilot defect to China with their aircraft before 2030?

Dec 12, 2:04 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

23.65%chance

572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

98

Will Trump or Rubio say that the US opposes Taiwanese independence before 2027?

Sep 28, 1:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.44%chance

464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

Will a new Taiwanese Representative Office in Estonia use the word 'Taiwan' in the name?

Nov 6, 8:54 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

35.31%chance

243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

74

40

DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election? (Yes) → Chinese Annexation of Half of Taiwan by 2050

Apr 28, 7:21 PMJan 2, 5:01 AM

49.01%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

71

69

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