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Taxpayer News

    Prediction markets for Taxpayer

    What is going on with David Grusch's UFO claims?

    Sep 18, 12:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    12977307

    OptionProbability

    Massive fraud

    Multiple counts of perjury

    Advanced human technology

    Non-human intelligence

    36

    31

    23

    9

    OptionProbability

    "designate cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations"

    "lower taxes"

    "defend your Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms"

    "increase penalties for assaults on law enforcement"

    "open Civil Rights investigations into any school district that has engaged in race-based discrimination"

    "order the Department of Defense to inflict maximum damage on cartel leadership and operations"

    "end catch-and-release, restore Remain in Mexico, and eliminate asylum fraud"

    "ask Congress to ensure that drug smugglers and traffickers can receive the Death Penalty"

    "reward states and school districts that abolish teacher tenure for grades K-12 and adopt Merit Pay"

    "REVOKE China’s Most Favored Nation trade status"

    "stop all COVID mandates"

    "keep men out of women’s sports"

    "deputize the National Guard and local law enforcement to assist with rapidly removing illegal alien gang members and criminals"

    empower the President to impose reciprocal tariffs

    "deliver a merit-based immigration system that protects American labor and promotes American values"

    "get Biden’s radical left ideology out of our military and rehire every patriot who was unjustly fired"

    "cut federal funding for any school or program pushing Critical Race Theory or gender ideology on our children"

    "strengthen qualified immunity and other protections for police officers"

    "uphold your religious liberty, including the Constitutional right to pray in public schools"

    "implement a 4-year national reshoring plan so that the United States no longer needs to rely on China for essential medical and national security goods"

    "put violent offenders and career criminals behind bars"

    "build a state-of-the-art next-generation missile defense shield"

    "surge federal prosecutors and the National Guard into high-crime communities"

    "adopt a Parental Bill of Rights"

    "banning taxpayer funds from being used to categorize lawful speech for purposes of illicit censorship"

    "banning federal agencies from censoring speech"

    "bigger paychecks"

    "a ban on members of Congress trading stocks with insider information"

    "enacting landmark legislation to drastically limit the ability of big social media platforms to restrict free speech"

    "choke off [cartels'] access to the global financial system"

    "cut the number of school administrators"

    "stopping federal funding for all non-profits and academic programs engaged in censorship"

    declassify the 'Epstein files'

    "pass a bold range of critical election integrity measures that include banning unsecure drop boxes and ballot harvesting"

    "more jobs for American workers"

    "deliver record funding to hire and retrain police officers"

    "veto the sinister effort to weaponize civics education"

    "increase fairness through price transparency"

    "passing a digital bill of rights"

    "get the full cooperation of neighboring governments to dismantle the cartels, or else expose every bribe and kickback that allows these criminal networks to preserve their brutal reign"

    "continue to nominate highly qualified prosecutors, judges, and justices who believe in enforcing the law, not their own political agenda"

    "create a credentialing body to certify teachers who embrace patriotic values"

    "protect Medicare, Social Security, and patients with pre-existing conditions"

    "reduce the soaring price of gasoline, diesel and natural gas"

    "firing any federal bureaucrat who has engaged in censoring the lawful speech of American citizens"

    "ban private money from pouring into local election offices"

    "end surprise medical billing"

    "ban Chinese ownership of all critical infrastructure in the United States"

    "reform our election laws to verify the identity and eligibility of all voters"

    "reduce the cost of prescription drugs and health insurance premiums"

    "impose a total naval embargo on cartels"

    "a permanent ban on taxpayer funding of campaigns"

    "a lifetime ban on lobbying by former members of Congress and cabinet members"

    "implement the direct election of school principals by the parents"

    "a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress"

    "keep America out of unnecessary foreign wars"

    100

    82

    74

    71

    71

    66

    63

    63

    63

    63

    58

    57

    56

    51

    50

    45

    45

    44

    44

    42

    42

    42

    40

    40

    40

    40

    39

    39

    37

    36

    36

    36

    35

    34

    33

    31

    31

    31

    30

    27

    27

    26

    26

    25

    24

    23

    19

    18

    18

    17

    16

    16

    13

    11

    7

    0

    OptionProbability

    >=$40,000 / Married-Jointly / TY2025

    >=$40,000 / Married-Jointly / TY2026

    >=$20,000 / Single / TY2025

    >=$20,000 / Single / TY2026

    >=$100,000 / Married-Jointly / TY2026

    >=$50,000 / Single / TY2026

    >=$100,000 / Married-Jointly / TY2025

    >$50,000 / Single / TY2025

    >=$20,000 / Married-Jointly / TY2024

    95

    91

    90

    90

    15

    10

    8

    7

    0

    Will there be a 'DOGE Dividend' by the end of 2026?

    Feb 18, 10:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    2.61%chance
    373332

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2394

    130

    OptionProbability

    Opportunity Party polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls?

    Te Pati Maori polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls?

    100

    4

    Will OpenAI receive a bailout from the US government by the end of 2028?

    Nov 3, 4:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    32.85%chance
    161985

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1430

    699

    Will Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?

    Mar 18, 10:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    16.16%chance
    71278

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2278

    439

    What is going on at the CIA? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Feb 5, 3:02 AMJan 1, 2:58 AM
    151022

    OptionProbability

    CIA bypassing warrants and oversight; creating massive taxpayer and social security database; via Palantir

    criminal activity

    Something to do with Donald Trump specifically

    Something to do with Tulsi Gabbard

    A (alleged) cover up of some kind

    Something to do with Jeffrey Epstein

    49

    46

    34

    25

    24

    14

    OptionProbability

    Above $100m

    Above $200m

    Above $300m

    Above $400m

    99

    92

    83

    62

    Trump gives people cash from tariffs in 2026?

    Nov 20, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    11.6%chance
    16684

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    276

    36

    OptionProbability

    Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

    Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

    Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

    Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

    Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

    55

    53

    51

    50

    28

    OptionProbability

    Republican

    Democratic

    Libertarian

    Green

    US Taxpayers

    American Solidarity

    Independent

    Natural Law

    Other

    Other

    59

    12

    5

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

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