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Prediction markets for Taxpayer
OptionProbability
36
31
23
9
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
Jan 24, 11:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
968242
OptionProbability
100
82
74
71
71
66
63
63
63
63
58
57
56
51
50
45
45
44
44
42
42
42
40
40
40
40
39
39
37
36
36
36
35
34
33
31
31
31
30
27
27
26
26
25
24
23
19
18
18
17
16
16
13
11
7
0
Will the SALT Tax Deduction Limitation be at least X for a taxpayer filing Y for a given Tax Year?
Feb 23, 3:55 AMApr 30, 8:06 PM
123568
OptionProbability
95
91
90
90
15
10
8
7
0
Will there be a 'DOGE Dividend' by the end of 2026?
Feb 18, 10:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
2.61%chance
373332
OptionVotes
2394
130
Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election?
Jan 29, 2:06 AMNov 25, 2:06 AM
72475
OptionProbability
100
4
Will OpenAI receive a bailout from the US government by the end of 2028?
Nov 3, 4:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.85%chance
161985
OptionVotes
1430
699
Will Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?
Mar 18, 10:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.16%chance
71278
OptionVotes
2278
439
OptionProbability
49
46
34
25
24
14
OptionProbability
99
92
83
62
OptionVotes
276
36
Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?
Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5331
OptionProbability
55
53
51
50
28
OptionProbability
59
12
5
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
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