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Prediction markets for Tems
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
Apr 20, 1:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
8.24%chance
8561819392
OptionVotes
34119
9563
Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?
Jul 26, 2:17 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM
2.58%chance
143101829
OptionVotes
38413
441
Will we have a superconductor at room-temperature and pressure by end of 2030?
Jul 30, 12:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
14.2%chance
9898747
OptionVotes
2144
848
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2026?
Feb 24, 9:01 AMJan 2, 12:40 AM
1%chance
4173665
OptionVotes
6112
838
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
Jan 11, 6:33 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
5.47%chance
16444631
OptionVotes
4169
267
Will a new 'Highest Air Temperature on Earth' record be set this decade
Apr 5, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.27%chance
13623738
OptionVotes
1828
846
Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?
May 30, 1:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
27.82%chance
3118945
OptionVotes
14347
7601
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
Feb 23, 12:18 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
55.42%chance
2812167
OptionVotes
1305
641
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2038?
Feb 10, 1:25 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
51.5%chance
276478
OptionVotes
1323
407
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
Feb 17, 2:23 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
54.27%chance
313002
OptionVotes
1352
378
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2037?
Feb 7, 10:31 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM
41.83%chance
311994
OptionVotes
1188
547
Will the World Meteorological Organization Decertify the 1913 Death Valley 134F Temperature Record During the 2020s?
Aug 22, 12:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
36.46%chance
899
OptionVotes
1142
1119