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Prediction markets for the Civil Rights Act
Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?
May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
74.33%chance
143045
OptionVotes
1405
433
OptionProbability
97
85
75
69
66
64
64
61
61
61
50
50
43
41
19
Will the US government undergo significant, large scale decline by 2050?
Jun 24, 8:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
84.51%chance
15836
OptionVotes
1123
942
Will the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?
Jul 21, 10:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12%chance
3587
OptionVotes
271
37
OptionProbability
47
28
25
Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?
Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.72%chance
5164
OptionVotes
179
56
Will the No FAKES Act be passed and signed into law during second Trump administration?
Oct 12, 6:11 AMJan 20, 11:00 AM
14.87%chance
677
OptionVotes
133
93
Will AfD chancellorship make Germany go back to 1933 era before 2050?
Oct 3, 9:23 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM
8%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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