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Top stories

Economist Casts Bolsonaro Coup Trial as Democracy Lesson for United States

US Foreign Policy

Economist Casts Bolsonaro Coup Trial as Democracy Lesson for United States

Authors

4

1 year ago

Canadian Visits to U.S. Slide 37% as Las Vegas Tourism Slumps

Canadian Visits to U.S. Slide 37% as Las Vegas Tourism Slumps

Authors

27

1 year ago

Sabrina Carpenter’s ‘Man’s Best Friend’ Debuts No. 1 on US iTunes

Sabrina Carpenter’s ‘Man’s Best Friend’ Debuts No. 1 on US iTunes

Authors

12

1 year ago

Prediction markets for The Economist

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.86%chance

653719860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5791

4783

How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?

Jan 3, 12:27 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

8010795

OptionProbability

Authoritarian regime

Hybrid regime

Flawed democracy

Full democracy

60

30

8

2

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

44.34%chance

344924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1120

892

Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?

Mar 28, 8:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.74%chance

214767

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2882

347

Which Party will the Economist endorse in the next UK General Election?

Apr 1, 11:44 AMJul 30, 10:59 PM

193986

OptionProbability

Liberal Democrats

Conservatives

Labour

A coalition of some description

No Party

Other

Green Party

Reform UK

32

28

21

5

5

5

2

1

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

24.33%chance

212416

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

922

Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?

Oct 29, 5:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.62%chance

292141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1762

673

If this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?

Apr 30, 10:32 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM

7200

OptionProbability

Wes Streeting

Keir Starmer

Al Carns

Ed Miliband

Andy Burnham

Angela Rayner

35

31

31

30

29

28

Which countries will the Economist make endorsements in elections for in Oct 2025 - Dec 2029?

Oct 23, 2:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2114

OptionProbability

🇬🇧 United Kingdom

🇺🇸 United States

🇩🇪 Germany

🇯🇵 Japan

🇫🇷 France

🇮🇹 Italy

95

83

50

50

50

50

Will the Economist Democracy Index of India in 2027 be above 7?

Jul 25, 3:13 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM

42.91%chance

7105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

If this person is leader of the Lib Dems going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Lib Dems?

May 1, 6:29 PMJun 15, 6:28 PM

167

OptionProbability

Ed Davey

Daisy Cooper

Layla Moran

Josh Babarinde

30

30

30

26

How will Poland be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?

Oct 31, 12:34 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM

251

OptionProbability

Flawed democracy

Full democracy

Hybrid regime

Authoritarian regime

78

16

5

2

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