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Prediction markets for The Initiative
Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2025? (1000 mana subsidy)
Jun 19, 7:17 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM
24.91%chance
10618032
OptionVotes
3271
1678
Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)
Jun 19, 7:06 AMDec 30, 9:39 PM
52.59%chance
767314
OptionVotes
2494
1805
Will Brazil join China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) until the end of 2027?
Apr 11, 2:47 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
40.42%chance
161727
OptionVotes
1033
936
(Before 2030) How will China actually initiate the annexation of Taiwan?
Dec 10, 4:17 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
14587
OptionProbability
58
18
12
6
5
Will NASA use atomic clocks on the moon as part of their initial timekeeping method?
Apr 22, 1:51 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
73.54%chance
18563
OptionVotes
1145
915
Will "Our Neighborhood Voices" qualify a local control zoning initiative for the 2026 California ballot?
Feb 26, 12:55 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM
30.77%chance
1500
OptionVotes
1500
667
🚅 Will the California High Speed Rail Initial Operating Segment open by 2030?
Oct 26, 3:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.02%chance
6354
OptionVotes
296
59
Will Meter, Inc do an initial public offering or get acquired before the end of 2030?
May 25, 3:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
37.47%chance
13159
OptionVotes
1875
1696
Will Tsukihime -The other side of red garden- be available in English on its initial release?
Feb 14, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
69.91%chance
4132
OptionVotes
93
54
OptionProbability
27
27
10
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
Will Moistcritikal / penguinz0 's lawsuit against the US Immigration Dept result in overturning their initial rulings?
May 4, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25.18%chance
774
OptionVotes
172
58
Will the next French aircraft carrier be (initially) named after a woman?
Apr 9, 12:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
53%chance
468
OptionVotes
174
146
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