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Prediction markets for The Social Network
If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true?
May 30, 8:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
2211183
OptionProbability
94
93
93
93
92
90
89
89
86
72
67
66
63
52
52
50
50
42
41
32
31
20
10
Top 5 films of the 21st century, according to "The Big Picture"?
May 18, 9:52 PMDec 31, 10:42 PM
133792
OptionProbability
80
68
43
40
35
28
28
27
27
23
20
3
2
1
OptionVotes
3018
778
Will someone fail to hydrate/eat, dying as a result, because they could not perceive reality, their hunger, or their thirst, while using a social media network in the next 10 years?
Dec 6, 3:48 AMDec 6, 4:00 AM
39.3%chance
171036
OptionVotes
1097
848
YouTube, A social Networking site will still be a Google product till Feb. 24 2026
Dec 7, 5:34 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
95.97%chance
3388
OptionVotes
488
20
In which year will there be a social network with more active users than Facebook?
Jul 28, 5:30 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
21.01%chance
7268
OptionProbability
352
213
Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?
Mar 14, 4:37 PMMar 22, 3:59 AM
41.45%chance
10236
OptionVotes
1002
989
Will OpenAI launch or buy out a social media network by Jan 2028?
Apr 16, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.98%chance
12194
OptionVotes
100
100
OptionVotes
212
47
Will the European Union fine Elon Musk's social network X in 2025?
Apr 4, 12:00 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
7106
OptionProbability
83
54
45
24
Will the Bonfire social network project surmount its performance problems before it's too late?
Jan 9, 11:30 PMApr 1, 10:59 AM
71.91%chance
130
OptionVotes
80
31
Is the Cheegar constant for Kenneth Shinozuka's social network lower than that of Jacob Cole's social network?
Jul 24, 3:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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