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Prediction markets for The Wall Street Journal
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?
Sep 20, 7:29 PMJun 29, 3:59 AM
86%chance
11480441
OptionVotes
3020
466
OptionVotes
2405
416
Will Michael Saylor be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?
Mar 4, 7:47 PMFeb 5, 4:59 AM
14.83%chance
202697
OptionVotes
1443
867
OptionVotes
1228
815
Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?
Mar 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
15766
OptionProbability
92
79
72
72
72
69
66
66
56
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
45
41
34
34
34
20
18
9
Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?
May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM
39.77%chance
9612
OptionVotes
1231
813
Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
14.42%chance
15577
OptionVotes
1455
887
Will Eric Swalwell be behind bars on Election Day 2028?
Apr 12, 8:55 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM
19.17%chance
17445
OptionVotes
1087
951
Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?
Feb 12, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
74.34%chance
6357
OptionVotes
1067
772
US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028
Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
45.42%chance
5298
OptionVotes
1096
912
OptionVotes
1168
856
OptionVotes
1061
942
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