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Prediction markets for The Wall Street Journal
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?
Sep 20, 7:29 PMJun 29, 3:59 AM
81.97%chance
10360009
OptionVotes
2608
544
Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
2.63%chance
7429608
OptionVotes
6082
164
What will be the outcome of Trump's lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal?
Jul 19, 7:42 AMJan 1, 8:41 AM
434572
OptionProbability
72
26
2
Will Michael Saylor be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?
Mar 4, 7:47 PMFeb 5, 4:59 AM
14.57%chance
192693
OptionVotes
1466
863
Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?
Jan 19, 9:56 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM
15.92%chance
91655
OptionVotes
2298
435
By Jan 2027, will AI independently run 3 successful companies that would've previously needed programmers?
Jun 16, 8:47 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
11.4%chance
181414
OptionVotes
1241
941
Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?
Mar 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
15766
OptionProbability
92
79
72
72
72
69
66
66
56
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
45
41
34
34
34
20
18
9
Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
14.42%chance
15577
OptionVotes
1455
887
Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?
May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM
53.61%chance
7311
OptionVotes
1075
930
US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028
Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
45.42%chance
5298
OptionVotes
1096
912
OptionVotes
1168
856
OptionVotes
1061
942
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