Tier News

HSBC Upgrades DLocal to Buy with 23.3% Jump, Oracle and Dell Receive Price Target Raises; Cisco Downgraded to Hold

7 months ago

What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 16, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3035771

OptionProbability

60-70%

70-80%

50-60%

80-90%

40-50%

30-40%

≥90%

<30%

Will OpenAI display ads to free tier users within one year?

Aug 20, 2:05 AMAug 20, 2:03 AM

98.93%chance

3116204

OptionVotes

YES

9681

105

Tier 4 Callers Stock [Permanent]

Nov 12, 5:55 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

629207

OptionProbability

YES

1713

570

What tier will LeBron be in Year 23

Nov 19, 1:29 AMApr 30, 10:59 PM

22320

OptionProbability

All-Star Caliber (below All-NBA, but clear top 40)

Above Average (not all-star caliber, but ~top 60)

Average (~top 100)

All-NBA Caliber (below superstar, but clear top 20)

MVP tier (Embiid or Jokic in 2023)

Superstar (below MVP, but roughly top 10)

Starting Caliber (~top 150)

Worse than starting caliber (generally corresponds to 2nd team All-Rookie or worse)

Will AI usage in 2030 be split in tiers where the best and most expensive models are used rarely compared to cheaper and lower-quality models?

Dec 23, 9:10 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

91%chance

231906

OptionVotes

YES

2000

824

Melee - S Tier ETF (Permanent)

Mar 12, 8:31 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

91021

OptionProbability

YES

968

762

New Claude tier above Max 20x before 2027?

Jan 9, 8:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.34%chance

10852

OptionVotes

YES

1268

789

☁️ Will Apple increase the free iCloud storage tier to >5GB in the US by 2030?

Mar 6, 1:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.08%chance

14657

OptionVotes

YES

1256

885

During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?

Jul 7, 3:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.26%chance

11334

OptionVotes

YES

1269

925

Melee - A Tier ETF (Permanent)

Mar 12, 8:32 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

6254

OptionProbability

YES

202

123

Will "The Tale of the Top-Tier Intellect" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 12, 10:24 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.16%chance

1250

OptionVotes

YES

1250

964

Melee - C Tier ETF (Permanent)

Mar 12, 8:34 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

6147

OptionProbability

YES

786

722

Latest stories

Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Company Earnings
Stocks
Business
HSBC Upgrades DLocal to Buy with 23.3% Jump, Oracle and Dell Receive Price Target Raises; Cisco Downgraded to Hold
Authors
5
7 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Tier News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Tier

Prediction markets for Tier

Prediction markets for Tier

What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?

Will OpenAI display ads to free tier users within one year?

Tier 4 Callers Stock [Permanent]

What tier will LeBron be in Year 23

Will AI usage in 2030 be split in tiers where the best and most expensive models are used rarely compared to cheaper and lower-quality models?

Melee - S Tier ETF (Permanent)

New Claude tier above Max 20x before 2027?

☁️ Will Apple increase the free iCloud storage tier to >5GB in the US by 2030?

During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?

Melee - A Tier ETF (Permanent)

Will "The Tale of the Top-Tier Intellect" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Melee - C Tier ETF (Permanent)

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram