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Prediction markets for Title
SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.
Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.81%chance
335935
OptionVotes
4447
225
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.89%chance
253805
OptionVotes
1088
922
Will Pogacar or Vingegaard be stripped of any grand tour title before 2027?
Jul 2, 9:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.35%chance
112465
OptionVotes
2797
63
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65.4%chance
222282
OptionVotes
1377
729
2. Details of SSI’s research and technology will leak. The big labs will make meaningful adjustments [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:21 AMDec 29, 11:20 AM
36.64%chance
171605
OptionVotes
1317
762
5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
75.93%chance
8979
OptionVotes
1779
564
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65.32%chance
10603
OptionVotes
1375
730
Will Filippo Ganna win another UCI World Championship Time Trial title (in the men's elite class)?
Sep 5, 1:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
61.65%chance
11519
OptionVotes
1072
862
Will Scott Alexander post another article with a title that matches "The [disease] of [emotion]" before 2028?
Jan 1, 9:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.07%chance
6425
OptionVotes
1275
784
Will Bloodborne remake be one of the launch titles of PS6?
Nov 21, 10:11 PMDec 28, 10:59 PM
52.45%chance
4352
OptionVotes
1050
952
Will Tom Scott's "This Video Has [] Views" title stop being updated before 2030?
Jul 13, 5:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
35.5%chance
12260
OptionVotes
1019
945
OptionProbability
65
35