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Prediction markets for Together
Will my ex partner and I get back together within 3 years?
Aug 16, 1:44 AMJun 17, 6:59 AM
69.58%chance
189139847
OptionVotes
165099
32367
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2026?
Apr 16, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
1.17%chance
13261939
OptionVotes
5055
27
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?
Apr 16, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
58.81%chance
296581
OptionVotes
1214
374
Will Leo DiCaprio and Timothee Chalamet ever star in a movie together?
Nov 17, 1:04 AMJan 6, 5:59 AM
38.47%chance
285685
OptionVotes
1093
781
Given I have been with my partner for a year, will we be together for 5?
Sep 2, 9:46 PMAug 29, 3:59 AM
63.79%chance
725095
OptionVotes
1277
780
OptionVotes
4165
490
Will Ludwig and QT still be together at the end of 2025?
Jan 31, 5:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
79.49%chance
271961
OptionVotes
1586
776
Conditional on anyone proposing marriage via Manifold before 2025, will that couple still be together after the proposal?
Nov 15, 7:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
91.49%chance
231039
OptionVotes
1579
842
OptionVotes
1606
453
Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?
Oct 19, 6:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
67.72%chance
10400
OptionVotes
1057
834
Will AI finally generate an acceptable image of "Peter Thiel making out with, cuddling with, and incubating an egg together with a gay penguin" by 2025?
Jan 5, 4:48 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
84.79%chance
13267
OptionVotes
1181
938
Will "Superbabies: Putting The Pieces Together" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Jul 13, 12:15 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
36.85%chance
4205
OptionVotes
1196
334
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