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Top stories

Mastodon Co-Founder Brent Hinds Dies in Atlanta Motorcycle Crash at 51

Mastodon Co-Founder Brent Hinds Dies in Atlanta Motorcycle Crash at 51

Authors

13

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Top 10

Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26.95%chance

6326009

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1353

823

Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?

Apr 7, 4:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.2%chance

302686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1418

621

Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?

Mar 15, 4:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

52.67%chance

241663

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

995

Will the Saudi Pro League be in the top 10 strongest football/soccer leagues in the world by 2030?

Aug 17, 8:26 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

54.74%chance

261088

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

955

Will a Top Level Domain (TLD) other than .com be in the top 10 most expensive domain names before the end of 2028?

Mar 16, 6:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.15%chance

16849

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

898

Will Max get a permanent position with a research focus at a top 10 university within 5 years of finishing his PhD?

Jun 25, 1:58 PMJul 1, 2:01 PM

47%chance

14753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

956

Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?

Apr 7, 3:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.66%chance

24685

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1288

870

Will the UAE be in the top 10 countries in Human Development Index (HDI) in 2031?

Jul 7, 10:22 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.75%chance

5560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

975

Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20%

Aug 24, 1:11 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

33.82%chance

5402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1399

715

In 2030, will the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category be written by humans?

Feb 3, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.56%chance

12389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

938

Will Tumblr be fediblocked by a majority of the top 10 Mastodon instances by MAU, 6 months after implementation?

Dec 8, 8:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.1%chance

18356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1167

911

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Latest stories

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Obituary
Music
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Mastodon Co-Founder Brent Hinds Dies in Atlanta Motorcycle Crash at 51
Authors
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1 year ago

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