Top Creators News

JD Tops China’s 2025 Private Enterprises List; $6 Trillion Revenue, 1.8 Trillion Yuan Profit, Alibaba, Hengli Follow

3 months ago

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?

Dec 29, 5:17 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

78.3%chance

167101556

OptionVotes

YES

18397

5828

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.03%chance

9525701

OptionVotes

YES

2522

563

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2026?

Apr 1, 2:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.36%chance

5520055

OptionVotes

YES

2694

737

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?

Apr 1, 2:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

85.55%chance

5613045

OptionVotes

YES

2573

538

🧭Which of these things will happen before Ukraine joins NATO? [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 6, 9:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

497352

OptionProbability

Death Stranding 2 releases

Nintendo goes after Palworld legally in some way

someone reaches 5 million mana profit on manifold

Bitcoin reaches $100K

nvidia more valuable than microsoft and apple

Jimmy Carter dies

Strutheo reaches the top of the creator leaderboard

Someone with the last name 'Trump' wins a US presidential election

Manifest 2025 ends

GTA 6 is released

windows 12 released by microsoft

Volodymyr Zelenskyy stops being President of Ukraine

Joe Biden dies

king charles no longer king of uk

Taika Waititi 's star wars movie releases first trailer

Star Citizen OR Hytale OR YandareSimulator releases fully to the public

Official sub 2:00 marathon

chat gpt 6 released

Vladimir Putin dies

Lex Fridman interviews Putin

Human steps foot on the moon again

Moldova joins NATO

Kingdom Hearts 4 released

Manifold reaches 2000 engaged users at least one time

Credible reports of AGI

Woman becomes President of the United States

Ukraine's ranking on the Corruption Perception Index for all countries improves to 80th or better (chart is at the bottom of this article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_in_Ukraine)

One Piece manga final chapter and series ends

Tom Scott's THIS VIDEO HAS X VIEWS reaches 100M

George R R Martin releases ASOIAF The Winds of Winter (his next Game of Thrones Book )

Sam Bankman-Fried is released from prison

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce end their relationship by any means

China launches a full-scale invasion of Taiwan

Someone reaches a 2900 FIDE rating in Chess

Team Fortress 3 announced or revealed (not an unconfirmed leak)

The United States leaves NATO

assange extradited to usa

A market about room temperature semiconductors with at least 200 traders resolves in favor of the 'believers' (and stays resolved for a week)

100

🐲 Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2026?

Nov 2, 1:50 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

5.36%chance

103306

OptionVotes

YES

4202

238

Will 50%+ of the Top Creators on the Manifold leaderboard by end of 2025 have 20K or more followers on their Twitter accounts?

Jan 26, 3:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6%chance

112362

OptionVotes

YES

3280

685

Will 50%+ of the top market creators on Manifold as of Jan 2023 be displaced from the Top 20 list by end of 2025?

Jan 26, 3:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

95.79%chance

10896

OptionVotes

YES

930

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Mar 3, 5:23 PMDec 8, 9:35 PM

25.25%chance

15869

OptionVotes

YES

1107

931

Someone induces BlackPink to have babies to help South Korea's TFR by mid 2029

Nov 11, 9:30 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

27.31%chance

10762

OptionVotes

YES

1631

613

Will any of the top 10 "popular" Webtoons on July 1, 2026 openly use AI art?

Mar 30, 12:08 AMJul 1, 10:59 PM

41.04%chance

9213

OptionVotes

YES

1199

834

Will I be the top creator on Manifold when the website shuts down?

Mar 7, 3:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.96%chance

543

OptionVotes

YES

100

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
China
Economics
Business
JD Tops China’s 2025 Private Enterprises List; $6 Trillion Revenue, 1.8 Trillion Yuan Profit, Alibaba, Hengli Follow
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3 months ago

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Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2026?

Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?

🧭Which of these things will happen before Ukraine joins NATO? [ADD RESPONSES]

🐲 Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2026?

Will 50%+ of the Top Creators on the Manifold leaderboard by end of 2025 have 20K or more followers on their Twitter accounts?

Will 50%+ of the top market creators on Manifold as of Jan 2023 be displaced from the Top 20 list by end of 2025?

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Someone induces BlackPink to have babies to help South Korea's TFR by mid 2029

Will any of the top 10 "popular" Webtoons on July 1, 2026 openly use AI art?

Will I be the top creator on Manifold when the website shuts down?

Latest stories

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