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Top stories

BASIS Tucson North Tops U.S. News High School Rankings as Arizona Dominates List

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Top

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.28%chance

385252072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6692

4439

Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?

Aug 19, 11:35 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

7.31%chance

13543125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5141

1325

[ACX 2026] How many of these 15 top US executive branch officials will be out before 2027?

Jan 7, 12:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2233175

OptionProbability

5

4

6 - 7

3

8 - 9

10 - 11

12 - 15

0

1

2

27

24

22

12

8

3

2

1

1

1

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

Dec 8, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7625378

OptionProbability

Anthropic

OpenAI

Google

Meta

DeepSeek

xAI

Alibaba

Other

44

32

15

2

2

2

2

2

What % of Americans will cite computers/technology as the US's top problem by Dec 31, 2026? (Gallup)

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3220657

OptionProbability

0.5-1%

1-1.5%

<0.5%

1.5-2%

2-3%

5-10%

3-4%

≥10%

4-5%

44

17

12

8

6

4

3

3

2

Will a top-10 LMArena model have weight-based online learning by 2028?

Dec 4, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.39%chance

1218303

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2281

1762

What will be the world's top energy source in 2030?

Jan 12, 9:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

506411

OptionProbability

Oil

Natural gas

Solar

Other

Coal

Nuclear (fission)

Fusion

Wind

Hydropower

Traditional biomass

Geothermal

Tidal and wave

Modern biofuels

35

31

22

7

3

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will anyone top Magnus Carlsen's peak ELO of 2882 by the end of 2026?

Dec 7, 11:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7.8%chance

415780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4832

461

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

64.64%chance

585433

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1352

690

Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026

Jul 14, 8:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62.94%chance

372146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

884

Will this market top Manifold homepage?

Mar 2, 11:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.93%chance

13732

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

832

Will a xenharmonic song enter the Billboard Top 100 or Spotify Top 100 tracks before 2030?

Jul 19, 2:35 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

36.89%chance

7396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1308

764

Latest stories

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Education
Arizona
Culture
BASIS Tucson North Tops U.S. News High School Rankings as Arizona Dominates List
Authors
5
10 months ago

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