OptionVotes
YES
NO
410
113
OptionProbability
Not before 31 December 2030
in 2030
in 2028
in 2029
in 2027
in 2026
82
6
4
2
1
Someone within the Trump administration
Russia
Ukraine
Another European country
A journalist or private signals intelligence enthusiast
Other
18
16
104
96
195
51
115
87
Get the latest stories live on any device.
Top Stories