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Prediction markets for TSMC

Will TSMC or any Taiwanese entity be accused of knowingly assisting the explosive pagers and battery attack on Lebanon?

Sep 18, 8:27 AMOct 8, 6:59 AM

5.72%chance

233679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4058

246

Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2025?

May 7, 5:39 PMJan 1, 4:03 AM

67.2%chance

142233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?

May 19, 4:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.47%chance

141542

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1318

759

Will TSMC incorporate room-temperature superconductors before 2029

Jul 27, 6:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.43%chance

201339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1878

897

Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?

Oct 20, 2:50 AMOct 27, 3:59 AM

27%chance

191337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

933

US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?

Apr 20, 2:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.44%chance

171096

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

972

TSMC stock

Apr 9, 8:34 AMApr 10, 3:59 AM

191038

OptionProbability

YES

NO

346

340

Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?

Aug 6, 6:18 PMAug 6, 9:59 PM

58.58%chance

11534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

163

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?

Jun 12, 7:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

18.8%chance

11517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1236

905

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.12%chance

21376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

789

Will C.C. Wei (CEO of TSMC) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 19, 2:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.4%chance

5166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

296

88

Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2026?

Jul 18, 12:45 AMJan 1, 4:03 AM

35.5%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

74

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