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Prediction markets for Tube
Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?
Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM
5.26%chance
2411233
OptionVotes
11928
1118
▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in August 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
Aug 1, 1:07 AMSep 1, 1:59 AM
266261
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
92
45
35
14
9
8
8
6
6
6
5
5
4
4
Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.09%chance
124921
OptionVotes
5899
3086
Will Contrapoints release a video about Philosophy Tube before the end of 2026?
Mar 26, 3:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
11.48%chance
432970
OptionVotes
3370
1670
OptionProbability
25
22
20
15
10
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1137
824
OptionProbability
58
11
11
10
5
2
2
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be available by the end of 2032?
Sep 26, 4:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
72%chance
18362
OptionVotes
2081
1952
OptionVotes
230
97
Will Contrapoints release a video about Philosophy Tube before the end of 2028?
Aug 22, 4:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.53%chance
3103
OptionVotes
203
49
Will car tubeless tires become commercially available by 2030?
Oct 20, 3:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
63.9%chance
261
OptionVotes
79
61
Will the M72/AS01E tuberculosis vaccine candidate have an efficacy of 50% or higher in the phase 3 trial?
Aug 24, 4:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
58.76%chance
424
OptionVotes
97
83
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