Turing AI News

Chinese Automakers Accelerate Shift From Nvidia Chips With Xpeng P7, Nio Shenji Chip and SMIC Revenue Growth Ahead of August Launch

4 days ago

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.56%chance

946604484

OptionVotes

YES

11087

8923

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Apr 8, 7:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.54%chance

5427446

OptionVotes

YES

1057

771

Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?

May 17, 10:20 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

66.27%chance

274524

OptionVotes

YES

1402

713

6. An AI system will pass the Turing test for speech.

Dec 27, 8:17 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

70.97%chance

142307

OptionVotes

YES

1564

640

In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?

Mar 28, 8:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

152190

OptionProbability

Other

2041

2025

2029

2027

2028

2030

2031

2026

2024

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?

Oct 17, 1:21 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71.52%chance

161236

OptionVotes

YES

1196

902

Will a paper or report, with >=1 turing award winner as an author, suggest that an AI system is conscious, by 2025 end?

Aug 25, 12:41 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

14.53%chance

15684

OptionVotes

YES

986

939

Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?

Jul 18, 7:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.62%chance

12670

OptionVotes

YES

1288

777

Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?

Feb 11, 1:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

78.98%chance

29524

OptionVotes

YES

1247

907

Which AI model will first pass the Longbets version of the Turing test?

Apr 3, 10:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18444

OptionProbability

Other

GPT-7

GPT-5

GPT-6

Claude 4

From which country will originate the AI that first passes Manifold AI's high quality Turing Test?

Aug 28, 6:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8282

OptionProbability

United States

China

France

United Kingdom

Other

Did Alan Turing believe there was a non-negligible risk that AI would exterminate or enslave humanity?

Apr 7, 7:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

59.2%chance

15282

OptionVotes

YES

1087

929

Latest stories

Aug 6, 2025
Aug 6, 2025
China
Automobile
Business
Chinese Automakers Accelerate Shift From Nvidia Chips With Xpeng P7, Nio Shenji Chip and SMIC Revenue Growth Ahead of August Launch
Authors
6
4 days ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Turing AI News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Turing AI

Prediction markets for Turing AI

Prediction markets for Turing AI

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?

6. An AI system will pass the Turing test for speech.

In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?

Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?

Will a paper or report, with >=1 turing award winner as an author, suggest that an AI system is conscious, by 2025 end?

Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?

Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?

Which AI model will first pass the Longbets version of the Turing test?

From which country will originate the AI that first passes Manifold AI's high quality Turing Test?

Did Alan Turing believe there was a non-negligible risk that AI would exterminate or enslave humanity?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram