Ukraine News

Poland Blames Russian Shahed Drone for Cornfield Blast, Denounces ‘Provocation’

4 months ago

VP J.D. Vance Ends U.S. Funding for Ukraine War as Bannon Urges America First Policy, No Troops in Europe

US Elections

War

US Foreign Policy

VP J.D. Vance Ends U.S. Funding for Ukraine War as Bannon Urges America First Policy, No Troops in Europe

4 months ago

FBI Raids Bolton Home; Former Adviser Blasts Trump’s Ukraine Policy

US Judiciary

US Foreign Policy

Politics

FBI Raids Bolton Home; Former Adviser Blasts Trump’s Ukraine Policy

3 months ago

Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?

Jun 22, 11:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.88%chance

587441644

OptionVotes

YES

6070

273

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

43.23%chance

507233863

OptionVotes

YES

8084

4771

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 10, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.53%chance

519202166

OptionVotes

YES

4557

1090

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

Jan 22, 8:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.38%chance

183167202

OptionVotes

YES

37000

1401

Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)

Aug 16, 3:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

95.11%chance

291156992

OptionVotes

YES

4411

227

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Jul 2, 9:32 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

667148166

OptionProbability

Ukraine ceding more than Crimea to Russia

Pre-2014: Crimea controlled by Ukraine

No cease-fire of 6 months

Pre-2022: Crimea controlled by Russia but not more

No Ukraine anymore

No Russia anymore

If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?

Aug 20, 11:16 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

74129111

OptionProbability

The U.S. keeps supporting Ukraine and there's no ceasefire

The U.S. keeps supporting Ukraine and there's a ceasefire

The U.S. stops supporting Ukraine and there's a ceasefire

The U.S. stops supporting Ukraine and there's no ceasefire

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

Nov 12, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.81%chance

28799783

OptionVotes

YES

6326

603

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Jun 17, 10:18 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

27%chance

26524118

OptionVotes

YES

3759

1528

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

Jul 2, 5:24 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

29%chance

15022694

OptionVotes

YES

3107

965

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Mar 11, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.27%chance

282666

OptionVotes

YES

2115

1887

Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?

Mar 7, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41%chance

271582

OptionVotes

YES

1994

1955

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Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Ukraine join NATO before Family Guy ends?

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