OptionProbability
With rich countries living beyond their means, the risk of a bond-market crisis is growing.
Geothermal energy is worth watching.
Better, cheaper GLP-1 weight-loss drugs are coming, and in pill form, too.
Russia and China will test America’s commitment to its allies with “grey-zone” provocations in northern Europe and the South China Sea.
Conflicts will grind on in Ukraine, Sudan and Myanmar.
Peace in Gaza will hold.
85
73
71
50
10
Geopolitics
Technology
Economy
Medical/Healthcare
Fundamental research
Environment and sustainability
Art and culture
Society
Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid
Space Exploration
Human Rights
76
75
74
34