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Prediction markets for UN
Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029
Oct 5, 6:22 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
42%chance
62029
OptionVotes
11755
8505
Will a new Country be recognized by the UN before 2030?
Aug 15, 7:24 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
77.57%chance
301563
OptionVotes
1326
855
Will any UN country change its capital city before the year 2030?
Jun 30, 2:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
69.06%chance
151003
OptionVotes
988
983
There will be a change to the permanent members of the UN Security council before 2040
Dec 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM
53.94%chance
15544
OptionVotes
1185
802
OptionVotes
1100
949
UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025
Jul 29, 8:41 PMSep 25, 11:59 PM
57.8%chance
10510
OptionVotes
1170
854
Will Kim Jong-un still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
Jan 5, 7:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
80.06%chance
20477
OptionVotes
1212
905
Will A.I. technology lead to regime change and /or state collapse in a UN member state by 2043?
Aug 28, 10:52 PMDec 5, 8:59 PM
67.54%chance
19445
OptionVotes
1084
950
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
May 21, 3:39 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM
39.52%chance
7372
OptionVotes
1237
808
When Taiwan moves from the 21st position on the UN nominal GDP measure, it will move up.
Jul 27, 7:43 PMJul 4, 3:59 AM
73.55%chance
13274
OptionVotes
1116
942
Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?
Apr 4, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.73%chance
11220
OptionVotes
1021
917
Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030
Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
46.34%chance
4200
OptionVotes
2091
1916
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