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Prediction markets for United States
OptionProbability
30
25
9
6
6
5
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
OptionProbability
26
24
9
6
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
44%chance
145153175
OptionVotes
1056
945
Will the United States go back to normally issue J-1 student visas for latinos by 2026?
Jun 1, 9:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40%chance
8675030
OptionVotes
75852
45834
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM
15770618
OptionProbability
31
24
7
6
5
5
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM
4.19%chance
5867644
OptionVotes
49275
4046
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
83.49%chance
14844993
OptionVotes
2115
209
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
50.67%chance
9243679
OptionVotes
1050
916
Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?
Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
34.18%chance
4131423
OptionVotes
13710
7373
Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?
Apr 28, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:33 PM
7.97%chance
2026245
OptionVotes
33975
2943
OptionVotes
11055
9045
What will be the party of the next President of the United States?
Oct 15, 6:37 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
163999
OptionProbability
54
44
1
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