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Prediction markets for United States
OptionProbability
23
18
13
9
8
8
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
43
14
10
8
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
Oct 30, 4:19 AMJan 7, 4:59 AM
27.9%chance
155163363
OptionVotes
1541
679
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM
225114087
OptionProbability
19
14
12
11
10
6
6
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM
3.21%chance
6784562
OptionVotes
59041
3675
Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?
Apr 28, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:33 PM
2.09%chance
2868654
OptionVotes
68515
1461
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
60.7%chance
15248690
OptionVotes
1425
461
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
65.82%chance
10045304
OptionVotes
1287
787
OptionProbability
28
27
10
10
9
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Christian Affiliation in the United States Increase Over Five Years?
Apr 25, 11:16 AMDec 31, 11:47 AM
27.7%chance
9615260
OptionVotes
9665
3727
What will be the party of the next President of the United States?
Oct 15, 6:37 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
287303
OptionProbability
57
42
1
OptionProbability
50
8
8
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
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