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Top stories

Stellantis Bets on Hybrid Cherokee Revival as $190 Million Fuel Fine Hits

Stellantis Bets on Hybrid Cherokee Revival as $190 Million Fuel Fine Hits

Authors

13

1 year ago

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

US Domestic Policy

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

Authors

12

1 year ago

US Sends Seven Warships Toward Venezuela, Prompting Regional Rift

US Foreign Policy

US Sends Seven Warships Toward Venezuela, Prompting Regional Rift

Authors

44

1 year ago

Netanyahu Sends Top Aide to UAE to Repair Strained Ties

Authors

5

1 year ago

Iran’s President Pezeshkian Signs Ten Agreements in Armenia, Opposes US Corridor, Meets Lukashenko to Boost Military Cooperation

Authors

14

1 year ago

Prediction markets for US

2028 US Presidential Election winner?

Jan 10, 6:40 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

10521416523

OptionProbability

Jon Ossoff

Other

JD Vance

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gavin Newsom

Marco Rubio

Ron DeSantis

Kamala Harris

Josh Shapiro

Tucker Carlson

Pete Buttigieg

Andy Beshear

Mark Kelly

Donald Trump (Sr.)

Raphael Warnock

Wes Moore

No 2028 Election

Thomas Massie

Steve Bannon

Nikki Haley

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Rogan

Kanye West

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Scott

Dean Phillips

Ivanka Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

Tulsi Gabbard

Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)

Greg Abbott

Tim Walz

Mike Gallagher

Cory Booker

JB Pritzker

Glenn Youngkin

Ruben Gallego

Elissa Slotkin

Tammy Baldwin

Jacky Rosen

Shawn Fain

Abigail Spanberger

Mike Johnson

Elon Musk

18

15

14

9

8

7

5

4

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 4:24 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

15.79%chance

398763848

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208616

63520

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.86%chance

653719860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5791

4783

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM

268219925

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other Party

67

32

1

US recession in 2026?

Sep 3, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.18%chance

142134058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

47939

2089

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.87%chance

294110933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11390

5011

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 5:32 PMJul 2, 4:59 AM

37.29%chance

190100191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12455

8168

Will building datacenters in the US be much more difficult by mid-2029?

Oct 11, 6:19 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

32.37%chance

8442356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15412

13071

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?

Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.88%chance

12723740

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3769

1429

5% more men than women in the US by 2055?

Jul 13, 5:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.7%chance

1211017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20851

4796

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

51.05%chance

4410157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10938

8979

Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?

Nov 5, 11:09 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

66.98%chance

167370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

29088

22177

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