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Prediction markets for USA Today
Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)
Sep 19, 8:40 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM
5%chance
84202880
OptionVotes
47793
2901
Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
4.28%chance
6819633
OptionVotes
4730
211
How many entire government agencies will be eliminated by within one year of Trump taking office?
Nov 22, 5:52 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
5116939
OptionProbability
37
31
11
9
4
4
4
Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?
Dec 17, 4:02 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM
5011008
OptionProbability
100
22
21
21
21
21
20
20
19
19
18
18
18
17
17
16
15
14
13
7
4
1
1
OptionVotes
2587
387
Will there be an attempted physical assault on anyone working for DOGE?
Feb 3, 5:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22.9%chance
494089
OptionVotes
1835
545
Will PA Governor Josh Shapiro be arrested in connection with the Butler PA attempt to assassinate Trump?
Feb 10, 3:05 PMFeb 18, 4:59 AM
204009
OptionProbability
21
7
7
4
3
Does the asteroid polyhymnia contain elements missing from the periodic table?
Oct 25, 2:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
4.55%chance
261669
OptionVotes
1521
941
Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?
Mar 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
15766
OptionProbability
92
79
72
72
72
69
66
66
56
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
45
41
34
34
34
20
18
9
How many collisions will there be involving commercial aircraft from Feb. 6 through the end of 2025?
Feb 5, 10:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7659
OptionProbability
37
20
14
10
10
9
Will the 2025 MLB World Series winner be from the lower half of team payrolls? (See Description)
Feb 10, 5:06 AMNov 1, 4:59 AM
17.21%chance
4460
OptionVotes
219
46
Anti-EV or Pro-ICE vehicle lobbying group at least 1/10 as big as the NRA by 2035
Jun 19, 1:18 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
49.62%chance
12232
OptionVotes
1074
917
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