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Prediction markets for Venezuelan
Who was the Polymarket trader who made $400k betting on Maduro's ouster?
Jan 7, 4:13 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM
211394705
OptionProbability
98
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Venezuelans be better off at the end of 2026?
Jan 3, 9:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.42%chance
420234233
OptionVotes
2658
377
Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?
Jan 31, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
72.18%chance
5115153
OptionVotes
16107
6208
OptionProbability
48
34
17
1
OptionProbability
100
66
23
17
13
8
0
0
0
Which of the following things will happen in 2026 as a result of the US Attack on Venezuela?
Jan 3, 8:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
383077
OptionProbability
100
50
45
19
16
13
12
12
11
7
7
7
6
Will Venezuelans be better off at end of 2026, conditional on sanctions NOT being lifted?
Jan 6, 7:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.79%chance
121390
OptionVotes
1952
512
Will Nicolas Maduro continue to accept migrant deportations of Venezuelans illegally residing in the US before 2028?
Dec 18, 10:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
4.14%chance
7839
OptionVotes
481
21
Will former Venezuelan president Nicolaus Maduro come back to power in 2026
Jan 11, 10:19 AMDec 31, 10:17 AM
4.18%chance
14574
OptionVotes
479
21
OptionVotes
121
93
Will TPS for Venezuelans be back in effect in the U.S. before January 1, 2027?
Nov 1, 4:39 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
33.49%chance
362
OptionVotes
141
71




