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Prediction markets for Vietnam War
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?
Mar 23, 6:29 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
17.08%chance
443962
OptionVotes
2050
595
OptionProbability
56
21
6
6
3
3
3
1
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?
Mar 23, 6:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
70.01%chance
15481
OptionVotes
997
957
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?
Mar 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
65.91%chance
16384
OptionVotes
1104
925
Will the generation after generation alpha also be defined by a technological rather than political/cultural change?
Jan 30, 4:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
52.94%chance
1077
OptionVotes
170
170
Resolve to the first year China will fight an official war with any other country since Vietnam 1978.
Apr 1, 6:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
248
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