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Top stories

Microsoft Tests AI Semantic File Search in Windows 11 Copilot

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Vision

Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro

Jan 23, 3:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25%chance

24743778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3033

574

Apple Vision Pro discontinued before 2028?

Jun 6, 2:47 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.09%chance

589753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1109

943

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

16.92%chance

817531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3762

454

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?

Jun 9, 10:52 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

8.57%chance

282745

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1794

29

Will Netanyahu's vision for Gaza be achieved by 2030?

Jul 25, 1:56 PMJul 24, 3:59 AM

24.15%chance

222711

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1772

564

Apple halves weight of Vision Pro by 2030

Feb 14, 4:50 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.53%chance

512258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

992

984

Apple Vision Pro breaks 50% annual VR/AR device market share through 2026

Jun 6, 2:38 PMJun 7, 3:59 AM

9.29%chance

161720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2330

753

Will Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029?

Feb 4, 5:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.84%chance

311578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1995

754

Someone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro

Feb 5, 10:11 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.2%chance

261561

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1698

249

Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?

Mar 11, 10:23 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

68.94%chance

18672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1056

860

Will Apple release a cheap Vision Pro before they release a “soundbar”?

Oct 18, 10:08 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

76.06%chance

13383

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

875

Will any fund eclipse the size of the SoftBank Vision Fund by 2030?

Dec 9, 8:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62%chance

17233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

990

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