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Top stories

OpenAI Launches GPT-5 Powered Codex Update With IDE Extension, Local-Cloud Task Handoff, GitHub Reviews, and Revamped CLI

OpenAI Launches GPT-5 Powered Codex Update With IDE Extension, Local-Cloud Task Handoff, GitHub Reviews, and Revamped CLI

Authors

15

8 months ago

Google Brings Gemini CLI to Zed, Launches Open Agent Protocol

Google Brings Gemini CLI to Zed, Launches Open Agent Protocol

Authors

16

8 months ago

Prediction markets for VS Code

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.31%chance

756761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1841

1310

What is the best text editor ?

Jul 7, 7:42 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

221134

OptionProbability

emacs

vim

ed

Other

VS Code

the rename button

notepad++

Visual Studio

Mivrosoft Word

NotePad

Microsoft Word

IntelliJ

Word Pad

Notepadqq

nano

atom

Sublime Text

chatGPT

Eclipse

Google Docs

Write on paper and use image to text

33

24

16

16

6

3

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Which AI code editor will be the most popular EOY2026?

May 6, 5:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

271111

OptionProbability

Any code editor + CLI tools (such as Claude Code, OpenAI Codex)

Other

Visual Studio Code (w/ 3rd party agent)

Visual Studio Code (w/ Github Copilot or any other built-in)

Zed

Cursor

Antigravity

Windsurf

Firebase Studio

39

14

13

10

10

9

3

0

0

In which months will Claude be available in my work's model picker?

Feb 28, 1:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4960

OptionProbability

March

April

May

June

September

December

100

78

78

78

74

74

Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges?

Aug 26, 12:50 PMApr 13, 10:59 PM

59.33%chance

5287

OptionVotes

NO

YES

481

101

Will Commerce issue a final affirmative AD determination (A-821-840) by Jun 30, 2026?

Feb 16, 5:48 PMJul 1, 5:48 PM

76.72%chance

273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1073

977

Will the terminal UI be the default interface for Claude code on 1 Jan 2027?

Feb 7, 7:42 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

70.61%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

65

Will Model Intelligence diverge from consumer market share?

Apr 14, 12:44 AMApr 14, 12:30 AM

349

OptionProbability

Yes

N/A (unclear)

No

57

25

18

Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?

Dec 3, 4:22 PM

10

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