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Top stories

OpenAI Launches GPT-5 Powered Codex Update With IDE Extension, Local-Cloud Task Handoff, GitHub Reviews, and Revamped CLI

OpenAI Launches GPT-5 Powered Codex Update With IDE Extension, Local-Cloud Task Handoff, GitHub Reviews, and Revamped CLI

Authors

15

1 year ago

Google Brings Gemini CLI to Zed, Launches Open Agent Protocol

Google Brings Gemini CLI to Zed, Launches Open Agent Protocol

Authors

16

11 months ago

Prediction markets for VS Code

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.36%chance

777061

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2141

1245

Will the news identify a 2002 SARS level outbreak event as having been caused by an open weight AI model by EOY 2028?

Jul 28, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.04%chance

103512

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3634

275

Which AI code editor will be the most popular EOY2026?

May 6, 5:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

291145

OptionProbability

Any code editor + CLI tools (such as Claude Code, OpenAI Codex)

Visual Studio Code (w/ 3rd party agent)

Zed

Other

Visual Studio Code (w/ Github Copilot or any other built-in)

Cursor

Antigravity

Windsurf

Firebase Studio

52

11

10

10

7

6

3

0

0

What is the best text editor ?

Jul 7, 7:42 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

221134

OptionProbability

emacs

vim

ed

Other

VS Code

the rename button

notepad++

Visual Studio

Mivrosoft Word

NotePad

Microsoft Word

IntelliJ

Word Pad

Notepadqq

nano

atom

Sublime Text

chatGPT

Eclipse

Google Docs

Write on paper and use image to text

33

24

16

16

6

3

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

In which months will Claude be available in my work's model picker?

Feb 28, 1:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41046

OptionProbability

March

April

May

June

September

December

100

100

100

78

74

74

Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges?

Aug 26, 12:50 PMApr 13, 10:59 PM

46.35%chance

7356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

425

151

Will the terminal UI be the default interface for Claude code on 1 Jan 2027?

Feb 7, 7:42 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

38%chance

4239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

Will Google Antigravity be discontinued by EOY 2026?

Aug 4, 8:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.12%chance

3120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

45

Will Google Antigravity be discontinued by EOY 2027?

Aug 4, 8:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.12%chance

780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

78

Will the EU publish final AI Act Article 73 incident guidance by October 1, 2026?

Aug 2, 10:22 AMOct 1, 11:00 PM

53.58%chance

566

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

72

Will Model Intelligence diverge from consumer market share?

Apr 14, 12:44 AMApr 14, 12:30 AM

665

OptionProbability

Yes

N/A (unclear)

No

60

23

17

Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?

Dec 3, 4:22 PM

10

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