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Top stories

EA Tweaks Battlefield 6 After Record-Setting Beta

EA Tweaks Battlefield 6 After Record-Setting Beta

Authors

6

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Weapon

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

Jan 22, 9:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.34%chance

5464006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31042

9067

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 5:28 AMDec 27, 9:59 PM

32.55%chance

7514205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

419

99

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Mar 3, 10:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28%chance

599917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1613

561

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?

Jul 5, 12:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30%chance

386314

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1069

671

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before basic AGI?

Apr 5, 1:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.05%chance

636268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

565

Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?

Feb 1, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32%chance

283824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

686

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Jun 24, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.78%chance

243423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2737

365

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

Oct 8, 9:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37%chance

193322

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1825

1254

International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?

Jul 7, 3:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.78%chance

182110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10777

9293

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

Jan 5, 5:29 AMDec 30, 9:59 PM

58.99%chance

11379

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

105

Will the IDF fight against Abu Shabab (a Palestinian militia they supplied with weapons) by the end of 2026?

Jun 5, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.67%chance

6315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

770

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Apr 23, 5:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

27.32%chance

11176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

981

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