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Top stories

Sling TV Rolls Out $5 Day Pass to Woo Sports Fans

Authors

11

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Week Pass

By 2028, will I think Anthropic has been net-good for the world?

Dec 2, 8:49 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

55.54%chance

4310746

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

854

By 2028, will I think OpenAI has been net-good for the world?

Dec 2, 8:34 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

25.43%chance

346095

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1270

866

Will the official ClaudePlaysPokemon stream complete Pokémon Red?

Feb 25, 4:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.34%chance

364787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

By 2028, will I think MIRI has been net-good for the world?

Nov 29, 7:22 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

79.71%chance

234040

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1688

729

Will AI be able to write a passable Manifold weekly newsletter by EOY 2026?

Aug 13, 5:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.15%chance

283192

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

68

By 2028, will I think DeepMind has been net-good for the world?

Dec 2, 8:32 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

38.66%chance

251521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1156

871

Will my friend get pregnant (market her request)

Aug 3, 11:57 PMSep 2, 11:55 PM

35.37%chance

17766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1352

740

Before 2050, will any human pass out from exposure to vacuum in space and then survive?

Mar 1, 12:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.21%chance

13531

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

960

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:43 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

16.39%chance

12472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

58

By 2028, will I think Redwood Research has been net-good for the world?

Dec 3, 11:22 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

82.91%chance

13444

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1230

926

If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?

Jan 15, 11:45 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

11.15%chance

12412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

469

78

Will I pass CFA Level 1 exam first attempt?

Jul 27, 6:09 PMApr 2, 5:04 PM

64.24%chance

9359

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1340

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Latest stories

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Aug 12, 2025
Aug 12, 2025
Software
Tech
Sling TV Rolls Out $5 Day Pass to Woo Sports Fans
Authors
11
2 days ago

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