Week News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Week
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
85%chance
495196604
OptionVotes
4992
1126
will the "AI movie to a prompt" market stay above 65% for a week straight before the end of 2025?
Jan 2, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9.36%chance
5338111
OptionVotes
2857
549
Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?
May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
9.89%chance
11136211
OptionVotes
30182
3313
Tesla completes 20,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?
May 1, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60.65%chance
2415399
OptionVotes
1241
806
🎵 By 2026, will any fully AI-generated song hit the Billboard Hot 100 or Spotify Top 50 for at least one week?
Mar 27, 3:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
63.14%chance
13010273
OptionVotes
1323
807
Tesla completes 100,000+ rideshare rides per week before April 2026?
May 1, 12:10 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM
28.16%chance
296480
OptionVotes
1597
626
Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?
Jan 22, 8:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.55%chance
223853
OptionVotes
12830
7603
Will AI be able to write a passable Manifold weekly newsletter by EOY 2026?
Aug 13, 5:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
80.08%chance
333360
OptionVotes
201
50
What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?
Jan 29, 1:58 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM
2973
OptionProbability
34
18
13
13
11
11
After GPT 5 is launched, will Microsoft's stock rise in the following two weeks?
Jan 26, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52%chance
31935
OptionVotes
1256
556
Will total processed tokens by Open Router LLMs exceed 10 trillion in any single week by the end of 2025
Feb 17, 12:31 AMDec 31, 1:00 AM
47%chance
7471
OptionVotes
1062
942
Will The S&P 500 Close Higher Week To Week More Often Than Closing Lower Week To Week* For All Of 2025?
Dec 27, 9:16 PMDec 26, 9:00 PM
52.36%chance
7377
OptionVotes
1048
954