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Prediction markets for Word
Will the Vesuvius Challenge recover at least one known lost work (>= 1k words) by 2030?
Oct 15, 11:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
59.35%chance
5315168
OptionVotes
1681
1326
In a true free market. Prices would naturally fall . In other words deflation
Sep 5, 3:34 PMSep 5, 3:34 PM
54.98%chance
129706
OptionVotes
1106
905
Will the next version of Google's LLMs NOT have Flash / Pro / Ultra or other words after the number?
May 20, 8:01 PMMay 20, 7:59 PM
4.48%chance
74171
OptionVotes
4618
217
Will there be a word that is widely accepted as a slur for genetically modified human beings by the end of 2033?
Apr 4, 8:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.69%chance
492756
OptionVotes
2109
1918
OptionVotes
1293
880
Will anyone say the words "excuse me, princess" in the upcoming live-action Legend of Zelda movie?
Nov 8, 5:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
36.8%chance
411528
OptionVotes
1025
956
AI coins a word appearing in Merriam-Webster dictionary before 2030
Sep 8, 3:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
33.44%chance
231364
OptionVotes
1411
709
Will the term "the N-word" itself be considered obscene before 2036?
Nov 6, 8:11 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
10.68%chance
311038
OptionVotes
1351
929
Will an English encyclopedia exceeding 15 billion words be created before May 2028?
May 23, 10:15 PMMay 1, 7:00 AM
24.54%chance
24710
OptionVotes
1312
868
Will Soy, Oat, Almond and other Non Dairy Milks still be allowed to use the word 'Milk' in the USA on Jan 1st 2028?
Dec 6, 5:38 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM
89.22%chance
15478
OptionVotes
984
887
By the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated?
Apr 2, 8:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
14.88%chance
11279
OptionVotes
1186
932
Will "Stone Age Billionaire Can't Words Good" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Feb 10, 5:04 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.82%chance
227
OptionVotes
1013
998
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