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Top stories

Vice President Vance Criticized for Claim All Wars End in Negotiation

Vice President Vance Criticized for Claim All Wars End in Negotiation

Authors

10

9 months ago

Prediction markets for World Wars

Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?

Mar 18, 12:21 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

35%chance

9321572

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1328

819

Will a World War II veteran live to see AGI?

May 27, 4:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

494460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1746

673

Assuming a potential future World War scenario, how will the three main powers align?

Sep 21, 11:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

412469

OptionProbability

Other

NATO versus ( Russia + China )

( NATO + Russia ) versus China

( NATO + China ) versus Russia

52

25

17

6

Will a major world war occur before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 6:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

43.4%chance

512187

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

751

2030: Will the World War III be named to start in 2023?

Oct 12, 10:23 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

7.02%chance

242146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1028

968

When will World War III happen?

Apr 25, 10:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

161211

OptionProbability

2046-2100

2026

2029-2035

2036-2045

2027

2028

2025

29

22

17

13

10

8

1

Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3?

Apr 9, 1:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20780

OptionProbability

Third World War

Second United States Civil War

51

49

Will the last living World War II veteran be from the Axis rather than the allies?

May 27, 4:37 PMJun 29, 6:59 AM

41%chance

12441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

975

How will the next World War begin?

Oct 14, 12:46 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

8131

OptionProbability

Conflict in Asia

Conflict in Europe

Conflict in Africa

Conflict in America

Conflict in Antarctica

76

54

50

43

20

Which countries will mostly avoid direct damage in World War 3? [add responses]

Jan 17, 9:16 PMJan 25, 8:59 PM

656

OptionProbability

Vatican

Uruguay

Sealand

Singapore

USA

71

59

41

40

36

Will the next Call of Duty game taking place in World War 2 release this decade?

Jul 30, 5:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55.35%chance

224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

76

65

Conditional on WW3 before 2030, will I decide that s-risks are at least 10% more likely than in worlds without war?

Jan 21, 12:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.89%chance

423

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

74

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US Elections
War
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Vice President Vance Criticized for Claim All Wars End in Negotiation
Authors
10
9 months ago

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