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Prediction markets for World Wars

Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?

Mar 18, 12:21 PMDec 31, 4:59 AM

25%chance

8618087

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

1174

Will Russia 🇷🇺 Be the number one world war power in 2025

Mar 28, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:00 AM

2.36%chance

717912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4734

908

Will a World War II veteran live to see AGI?

May 27, 4:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.98%chance

443556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1812

656

Assuming a potential future World War scenario, how will the three main powers align?

Sep 21, 11:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

362248

OptionProbability

Other

NATO versus ( Russia + China )

( NATO + Russia ) versus China

( NATO + China ) versus Russia

55

23

17

5

Will a major world war occur before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 6:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.1%chance

472073

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1194

662

2030: Will the World War III be named to start in 2023?

Oct 12, 10:23 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

4.06%chance

211786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1757

928

When will World War III happen?

Apr 25, 10:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10834

Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3?

Apr 9, 1:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17763

OptionProbability

Third World War

Second United States Civil War

55

45

Will the last living World War II veteran be from the Axis rather than the allies?

May 27, 4:37 PMJun 29, 6:59 AM

41%chance

12441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

975

Which countries will mostly avoid direct damage in World War 3? [add responses]

Jan 17, 9:16 PMJan 25, 8:59 PM

656

OptionProbability

Vatican

Uruguay

Sealand

Singapore

USA

71

59

41

40

36

Will the next Call of Duty game taking place in World War 2 release this decade?

Jul 30, 5:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55.35%chance

224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

76

65

Conditional on WW3 before 2030, will I decide that s-risks are at least 10% more likely than in worlds without war?

Jan 21, 12:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

64.89%chance

423

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

74

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