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Prediction markets for World Wars
OptionVotes
1328
819
OptionVotes
1746
673
Assuming a potential future World War scenario, how will the three main powers align?
Sep 21, 11:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
412469
OptionProbability
52
25
17
6
Will a major world war occur before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 6:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
43.55%chance
512190
OptionVotes
1122
748
2030: Will the World War III be named to start in 2023?
Oct 12, 10:23 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM
7.02%chance
242146
OptionVotes
1028
968
OptionProbability
51
49
OptionVotes
273
37
Will the last living World War II veteran be from the Axis rather than the allies?
May 27, 4:37 PMJun 29, 6:59 AM
41%chance
12441
OptionVotes
1037
975
OptionProbability
60
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
34
9
OptionProbability
76
54
50
43
20
Which countries will mostly avoid direct damage in World War 3? [add responses]
Jan 17, 9:16 PMJan 25, 8:59 PM
656
OptionProbability
71
59
41
40
36
Conditional on WW3 before 2030, will I decide that s-risks are at least 10% more likely than in worlds without war?
Jan 21, 12:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
64.89%chance
423
OptionVotes
113
74
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