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Top stories

Musk’s xAI Launches ‘Macrohard’ to Build AI-Run Rival to Microsoft

Musk’s xAI Launches ‘Macrohard’ to Build AI-Run Rival to Microsoft

Authors

11

1 year ago

Musk Sets September Start for Grok 5, Promises Pro-Birth AGI

Musk Sets September Start for Grok 5, Promises Pro-Birth AGI

Authors

25

1 year ago

Musk’s xAI Launches Grok Code Fast 1, Charging $0.20 per Million Input Tokens

Musk’s xAI Launches Grok Code Fast 1, Charging $0.20 per Million Input Tokens

Authors

16

11 months ago

Elon Musk’s xAI Grok Share Button Exposes Over 370,000 Private Chats Indexed by Google, Revealing Sensitive Data

Authors

15

1 year ago

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Authors

14

1 year ago

Prediction markets for xAI

What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

85182377

OptionProbability

Other

$220-230B

$210-220B

$230-240B

$240-250B

$250-260B

$260-270B

$270-280B

$120-130B

$200-210B

$280-290B

$290-300B

$150-160B

$160-170B

$170-180B

$180-190B

$190-200B

$110-120B

$130-140B

$140-150B

<$40B

$60-70B

$70-80B

$80-90B

$90-100B

$100-110B

$40-50B

$50-60B

22

6

5

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?

Mar 2, 8:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26%chance

7216343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

490

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

Jul 15, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.54%chance

8911423

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3621

355

Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?

Feb 26, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.61%chance

285349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2902

345

xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?

May 7, 12:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

22.15%chance

155169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

533

Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027?

Jun 13, 4:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.58%chance

184221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2046

499

Will Tesla merge with any of xAI, X, SpaceX or Neuralink, before 2027?

Feb 2, 9:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.63%chance

273222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1124

951

Will xAI reach 50 million H100-equivalents in 5 years?

Jul 22, 6:31 PMJul 24, 3:59 AM

37.41%chance

152676

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1294

773

Will xAI have an AI model restricted from public use in 2026?

Jun 25, 11:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.19%chance

202423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2363

423

SpaceX pivots away from xAI

Jun 26, 6:07 PMJun 28, 3:59 AM

26.74%chance

3655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1655

604

Will xAI release a game made entirely with AI that is better made than the best made Roblox game in the next 5 yrs?

Feb 21, 11:39 AMFeb 21, 11:59 PM

31%chance

10592

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1492

670

xAI game studio releases a game before 2027?

Oct 6, 5:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.01%chance

7320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1277

783

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