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Prediction markets for YouTube
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?
Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM
56.75%chance
375627
OptionVotes
1076
924
OptionProbability
1479
938
Will YouTube begin restricting uploads by the end of 2026?
Jan 3, 3:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.55%chance
113252
OptionVotes
1908
524
OptionVotes
1116
902
Will there be a Youtube video with at least 100 million likes before 2030?
Oct 1, 12:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
39.26%chance
341949
OptionVotes
1027
969
In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?
Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
43.42%chance
441839
OptionVotes
1169
687
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2027?
Jan 18, 8:48 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM
23%chance
181182
OptionVotes
1003
800
Will the LoFi girl Youtube channel still be live at the end of 2036?
Mar 21, 10:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.62%chance
20624
OptionVotes
1067
945
Will there be a YouTube channel with 1 billion subscribers by 2040?
Dec 16, 1:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
54.67%chance
16485
OptionVotes
1022
960
Will a video on Youtube break the current record for most viewed independent animation pilot before Jan 1st 2027?
Dec 1, 9:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
51.44%chance
16363
OptionVotes
1164
776
Will YouTube resolutely address the problem of clickbait thumbnails and video titles by 2029?
Mar 12, 3:15 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
21.61%chance
12236
OptionVotes
1128
940
Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"
Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
52.44%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
952