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Top stories

Epic Adds Gorillaz to Fortnite Festival With New Skins and Music Pass

Authors

5

3 days ago

Prediction markets for 2D

Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?

Oct 4, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.51%chance

7612381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1741

639

[Let's Play] Blackjack!

Jul 18, 5:08 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

472892

OptionProbability

Lose

Hit (and win)

Stand (and win)

55

43

2

Will my video game be released by the end of 2025?

Mar 6, 6:07 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52.45%chance

301930

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

By 2028, AI can play new levels of "Angry Birds" better than the best human players.

Jan 5, 11:07 AMJan 12, 6:29 PM

77.34%chance

251240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1354

852

Will AI be able to describe the state of a chessboard from an image before 2026?

Dec 30, 9:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

88%chance

18872

OptionVotes

NO

YES

271

37

Will I learn to visualize 4D space before 2035?

Jun 20, 9:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

54%chance

15733

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1083

923

Which frontier model AI company will release an AI waifu in 2025?

Jul 15, 9:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12470

OptionProbability

Meta

OpenAI

Google

Deepseek

Anthropic

22

5

5

5

4

Movies I bought on YouTube stay available through mid 2029

Apr 16, 5:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

75.53%chance

8271

OptionVotes

NO

YES

403

144

Will there be a Pokemon 2D Platformer game by Jan 1st 2029?

Dec 6, 4:29 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.39%chance

8177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

254

117

Apple ships AR glasses in 2027?

Aug 18, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.36%chance

595

OptionVotes

NO

YES

356

249

Before 2043, will a leading-edge process node feature a new transistor design fewer than 10 years after its invention?

Jun 5, 10:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.97%chance

250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

73

By 2028, AI can play new levels of "Angry Birds" better than the best human players.

Jan 5, 11:07 AM

170

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