4T News

YES

YES

NO

$3T to $3.5T

$1.5T or fewer

$1.5T to $2T

$2T to $2.5T

$2.5T to $3T

$3.5T to $4T

$4T to $4.5T

$4.5T to $5T

$5T to $5.5T

NO

NO

YES

YES

NO

YES

35.0-44.9% & D +2.5 or more (Trump meh, Dems chose better candidate)

≤34.9% & D +2.5 or more (Trump bad)

35.0-44.9% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (voters unsatisfied for 4th election in a row)

35.0-44.9% & R +2.5 or more (Trump meh, Reps chose better candidate)

≥45% & R +2.5 or more (Trump good)

≤34.9% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (ultrapolarized negative partisanship, Democracy is cooked)

≥45% & D +2.4 to R +2.4 (less polarization?)

≥45% & D +2.5 or more (Trump good, Republicans bad)

Marie Alvarado-Gil (incumbent)

Jaron Brandon

Jeramy Young