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Top stories

Trump Says He Backs FCC Revoking ABC, NBC Licenses

US Domestic Policy

Trump Says He Backs FCC Revoking ABC, NBC Licenses

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44

5 months ago

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US Foreign Policy

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Prediction markets for ABC News

Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?

Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

2.63%chance

7429608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6082

164

Department of Education eliminated by June 2026

Dec 26, 12:22 AMJul 1, 12:00 AM

5.04%chance

4521274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4340

230

JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029

Feb 7, 5:57 PMJun 1, 11:00 PM

17.51%chance

509712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2170

461

Will PA Governor Josh Shapiro be arrested in connection with the Butler PA attempt to assassinate Trump?

Feb 10, 3:05 PMFeb 18, 4:59 AM

224499

OptionProbability

Shapiro is subpoenaed to testify before Congress, the FBI, or another agency of the Federal government

Shapiro is indicted by a grand jury

Shapiro is arrested

Shapiro is brought to trial

Shapiro is found guilty of involvement with the plot

20

6

5

5

3

Which Trump children will be indicted or arrested by the midterm elections in 2026?

Dec 3, 10:54 PMNov 4, 4:59 AM

162120

OptionProbability

Donald Trump Jr.

Eric Trump

Ivanka Trump

Barron Trump

Tiffany Trump

14

14

10

10

6

At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026

Jan 21, 6:05 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

57.16%chance

132002

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

866

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

Sep 7, 1:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.01%chance

261841

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

975

Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?

Jan 19, 9:56 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

15.92%chance

91655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2298

435

Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?

Jun 6, 10:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.3%chance

271379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

880

Bird flu H5N1 outbreak in Australia in 2025 or 2026?

Oct 25, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.98%chance

61049

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

515

Will the House vote on any resolution impeaching Pam Bondi?

Dec 23, 6:22 PMFeb 19, 10:59 AM

11980

OptionProbability

Before Feb 18,2026

Before Jan 10,2026

Before Jan 24,2026

14

0

0

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

942

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