ABC News News

YES

YES

Market chaos

Bonus underlying chaos

Vacant Senate seats at start of term

Multiple Speaker ballots, or failure to elect a Speaker on the first day

Any state misses filing deadlines for certified results

Vacant House seats at start of term

Bonus market chaos

Senator not up for re-election changes party

Any major news organization retracts a call

New election ordered for any seat

Any member seated who was not the winner

Any member-elect denied the oath of office

Failure to establish a quorum in first roll-call vote (either chamber)

Any election delayed

Any member-elect changes parties

VP party change or otherwise announced change in Senate tie break

Congress refuses to accept any certified result

Majority control discrepancy in the Senate

YES

Greenland

Panama Canal

Other

Canada

Yucatán

Baja

Shapiro is subpoenaed to testify before Congress, the FBI, or another agency of the Federal government

Shapiro is indicted by a grand jury

Shapiro is arrested

Shapiro is brought to trial

NO

NO

YES

Jimmy Kimmel

Seth Meyers

John Oliver

Jimmy Fallon

Bill Maher

YES

NO