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Prediction markets for Accel
Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before the end of 2030?
Sep 2, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
7.89%chance
9475615
OptionVotes
3590
1751
Will the new Tesla Roadster have rockets providing propulsion (not extra grip) for additional acceleration?
Apr 1, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.51%chance
203260
OptionVotes
2414
498
Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?
Dec 2, 11:00 AMDec 10, 7:59 AM
10.38%chance
262340
OptionVotes
2404
674
By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?
Mar 8, 9:38 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
35%chance
201677
OptionVotes
1044
886
OptionVotes
1046
956
Will AMD release a product that is competitive with NVIDIA in the AI hardware accelerator space before 2028?
Dec 26, 8:33 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
70.24%chance
251062
OptionVotes
1018
894
Will a major cosmological simulation be AI-accelerated by the end of 2027?
Oct 12, 1:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
56.14%chance
28828
OptionVotes
1185
637
Will Y Combinator accept fewer companies into its accelerator between 2028-2030 than between 2020-2022?
Jan 5, 8:09 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
54.17%chance
23774
OptionVotes
1065
923
Will we see analog accelerators in consumer hardware by the end of 2026?
Nov 15, 3:40 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
11.93%chance
14609
OptionVotes
1350
926
Will Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Oct 29, 1:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
35.15%chance
3500
OptionVotes
1358
736
Will there be a lunar particle accelerator by the beginning of 2050?
Nov 15, 7:04 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
21.28%chance
16257
OptionVotes
1125
947
OptionVotes
1109
901
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