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Aces News

    Prediction markets for Aces

    Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

    Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    31.06%chance
    109171214

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    81796

    26531

    🏀Women's National Basketball Association (WNBA) 2026 Regular Season Games Live

    Jan 21, 11:58 PMSep 20, 11:59 PM
    2034532

    OptionProbability

    05/08 6:30 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Toronto) Tempo?

    05/08 9:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against the (Seattle) Storm?

    05/09 12:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wings WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?

    05/09 2:30 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Las Vegas) Aces?

    05/09 8:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Portland) Fire?

    05/09 7:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Minnesota) Lynx?

    05/10 12:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?

    05/10 2:00 PM: Will the (New York) Libery WIN against the (Washington) Mystics?

    05/10 5:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?

    05/12 7:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against the (Dallas) Wingz?

    05/13 7:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Connecticut) Sun?

    05/14 7:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against the (Dallas) Wingz?

    05/14 9:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against the (Portland) Fire?

    05/15 6:30 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Connecticut) Suns?

    05/15 6:30 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against the (Indiana) Fever?

    05/17 12:30 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against the (Atlanta) Dream?

    05/19 9:00 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?

    05/23 12:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Chicago) Sky?

    05/23 5:00 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?

    (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?

    05/27 6:00 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Chicago) Sky?

    05/27 9:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (Seattle) Storm?

    05/29 6:30 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Washington) Mystics?

    05/29 6:30 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Chicago) Sky?

    05/31 2:30 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?

    06/01 9:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Phoenix) Mercury?

    06/08 6:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Connecticut) Suns?

    06/08 6:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (Washington) Mystics?

    06/09 6:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Chicago) Sky?

    06/10 9:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Seattle) Storm?

    06/11 7:30 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?

    06/12 7:30 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Seattle) Storm?

    06/13 6:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (Connecticut) Sun?

    06/13 10:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Phoenix) Mercury?

    06/14 3:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?

    06/16 7:00 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Indiana) Fever?

    06/17 7:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (Connecticut) Sun?

    06/17 8:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Chicago) Sky?

    06/17 10:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Los Angeles) Sparks?

    06/17 10:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (Phoenix) Mercury?

    06/18 7:30 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Indiana) Fever?

    06/19 7:30 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Connecticut) Sun?

    06/19 7:30 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (New York) Liberty?

    06/19 10:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?

    06/21 6:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?

    06/22 10:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Seattle) Storm?

    06/23 10:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?

    06/21 4:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?

    06/21 8:00 PM: Will the (New York) Liberty WIN against (Los Angeles) Sparkss?

    06/22 7:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Chicago) Sun?

    06/22 7:30 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?

    06/22 8:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (Indiana) Fever?

    05/08 6:30 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (New York) Liberty?

    05/10 5:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against the (Golden State) Valkyries?

    05/13 6:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against the (Toronto) Tempo?

    05/15 9:00 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against the (Los Angeles) Sparks?

    05/15 9:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against the (Phoenix) Mercury?

    05/18 9:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against the (Portland) Fire?

    05/22 6:30 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against Atlanta Dream?

    05/22 6:30 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Indiana) Fever?

    05/22 9:00 PM: Will (Connecticut) Sun WIN against (Seattle) Storm?

    05/27 6:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (New York) Liberty?

    05/27 8:00 PM: Will the (Atlanta) Dream WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?

    05/27 9:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Sun WIN against (Portland) Fire?

    05/28 7:00 PM: Will the (Las Vegas) Aces WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?

    05/28 9:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (Golden State) Valkeries?

    05/29 6:30 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (New York) Liberty?

    05/30 12:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?

    06/01 7:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?

    06/06 12:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?

    06/06 2:00 PM: Will the (Golden State) Valkyries WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?

    06/06 5:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (Atlanta) Dream?

    06/06 7:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (New York) Liberty?

    06/07 2:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?

    06/07 6:00 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Los Angeles) Sparks?

    06/08 9:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?

    06/09 7:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?

    06/09 9:00 PM: Will the (Phoenix) Mercury WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?

    06/10 6:00 PM: Will the (Connecticut) Suns WIN against (Toronto) Tempo?

    06/11 7:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Indiana) Fever?

    06/12 7:30 PM: Will the (Toronto) Tempo WIN against (Washington) Mystics?

    06/13 8:00 PM: Will the (Minnesota) Lynx WIN against (Las Vegas) Aces?

    06/13 8:30 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Portland) Fire?

    06/14 3:00 PM: Will the (Washington) Mystics WIN against (New York) Liberty?

    06/15 8:00 PM: Will the (Vegas) Aces WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?

    06/15 8:00 PM: Will the (Portland) Fire WIN against (Minnesota) Lynx?

    06/15 10:00 PM: Will the (Los Angeles) Sparks WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?

    06/17 10:00 PM: Will the (Dallas) Wingz WIN against (Golden State) Valkyries?

    06/17 10:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Portland) Fire?

    06/20 1:00 PM: Will the (Indiana) Fever WIN against (Atlanta) Deam?

    06/20 3:00 PM: Will the (Seattle) Storm WIN against (Phoenix) Mercury?

    06/20 8:00 PM: Will the (Chicago) Sky WIN against (Dallas) Wingz?

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    74

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    How active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?

    May 2, 5:37 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
    257156

    OptionProbability

    Below normal (2.53 < ACE < 73)

    Near-normal ( 73 < ACE < 126.1)

    Above normal (126.1 < ACE < 159.6)

    Hyperactive (ACE > 159.6)

    Record low (ACE < 2.53)

    Record high (ACE > 258.47)

    51

    31

    13

    3

    1

    0

    How active will the 2026 Pacific hurricane season be?

    May 2, 5:32 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
    72587

    OptionProbability

    Above normal (115 < ACE < 318.1)

    Near-normal (80 < ACE < 115)

    Record high (ACE > 318.1)

    Below normal (22 < ACE < 80)

    Record low (22.3 < ACE)

    52

    23

    13

    11

    1

    Which of these movie franchises with 3 entries will get a 4th released before Jan 1st 2028?

    Jan 19, 5:09 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    211478

    OptionProbability

    Beverly Hills Cop

    Kingsman

    Trolls (Dreamworks)

    Austin Powers

    Human Centipede

    Re-Animator

    Blade

    Cars (Disney)

    Riddick

    Guardians of the Galaxy

    Bill and Ted

    Hostel

    Rush Hour

    Big Momma's (House)

    Cabin Fever

    Cloverfield

    Charlie's Angels

    Creepshow

    Daddy Day Care

    Unbreakable / M Night Shyamalan's Eastrail 117 Trilogy

    Meet the Parents / Fockers

    My Big Fat Greek Wedding

    Sharktopus

    Zeitgeist (Documentary)

    Honey I Shrunk the Kids

    Fifty Shades

    Free Willy

    Mighty Ducks

    Oh, God!

    Ace Ventura

    Back to the Future

    Godfather

    Bloodrayne

    100

    83

    72

    62

    56

    50

    47

    40

    40

    38

    37

    35

    35

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    28

    26

    25

    24

    24

    23

    18

    17

    10

    Will a new Ace Attorney game be released before 2027?

    Oct 14, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
    55.85%chance
    7187

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    227

    176

    What will be true of the partner or partners in my next romantic relationship?

    Jun 18, 3:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    4183

    OptionProbability

    We meet through a dating app

    Sex: Female

    Lives in the same city I live in

    Into BDSM

    Has piercings

    Has tattoes

    We kissed before starting a relationship

    The "talking stage" (from first contact/message to first sexual or romantic interaction) was 4 months or less

    Has 1 or more cats

    Gender: Woman

    Sexual orientation: Heterosexual

    Relationship starts as polyamorous

    Relationship is or could be open in the future

    Relationship is or could be polyamorous in the future

    I asked they/them to be my partner/partners first

    Open to have a thresome / n-some in a future

    Wants to have kids or adopt in a future

    Sexual orientation: Bisexual / under bi umbrella (pan, omni, etc.)

    Is older than me (excludes same age)

    Gender: Man

    Relationship starts as open

    We had sex before starting a relationship

    Open to having an orgy (with >=5 people outside the relationship) in the future

    Sex: Male

    Gender: Non-binary

    Hypersexual

    Sexual orientation: Homosexual

    Sex: Intersex

    Asexual / under ace umbrella

    80

    74

    69

    69

    69

    69

    69

    69

    69

    62

    59

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    41

    41

    32

    31

    31

    31

    26

    20

    20

    14

    10

    8

    Will ACE recommend any orgs doing direct (non-research) interventions in wild animal suffering by 2030?

    Jan 15, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
    64.01%chance
    12178

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    172

    162

    How many years will pass from AI aceing Putnam to a Millenium Prize problem getting solved?

    Jan 30, 11:26 PMFeb 22, 10:59 PM
    5159

    OptionProbability

    1-2

    0

    3-5

    6+

    Millenium Prize first

    27

    21

    21

    21

    10

    Which team will win the WNBA championship this season?

    May 25, 9:11 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM
    10134

    OptionProbability

    Other

    New York Liberty

    Las Vegas Aces

    Indiana Fever

    39

    30

    19

    12

    Aces Stock (ACS)

    Jan 29, 8:44 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM
    277

    OptionProbability

    NO

    YES

    133

    41

    Will there be a new Ace Attorney game before "Spirit of Justice" is set in the past?

    Jan 19, 9:07 AMSep 30, 10:59 AM
    75.68%chance
    250

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    140

    63

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