Acts of Congress News

Trump Administration Escalates Rollback of Race-Based Grants, Hits HSI and NIH Programs

17 hours ago

Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025

Apr 7, 10:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

16254471

OptionVotes

YES

1206

894

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

1151

869

Will the United States engage in a war with another country by January 1, 2026?

Jan 2, 1:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.64%chance

224483

OptionVotes

YES

1703

587

SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?

Aug 4, 6:19 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

51.18%chance

84233

OptionVotes

YES

1024

977

US imposes secondary sanctions on Russia in 2025

Jul 12, 9:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.44%chance

161625

OptionVotes

YES

1115

897

Will the US judiciary remain independent by the end of Trump's term?

Mar 2, 8:39 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM

55.46%chance

171256

OptionVotes

YES

1116

896

Will the next Congress repeal or substantially amend the Height Act?

Aug 30, 3:36 PMJan 4, 5:59 AM

25.71%chance

14955

OptionVotes

YES

1700

588

Will the ROAD to Housing Act become law in 2025?

Aug 6, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.52%chance

8847

OptionVotes

YES

1372

967

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM

53.04%chance

7325

OptionVotes

YES

1063

941

2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets

Jul 14, 2:29 PMApr 15, 10:59 PM

4216

OptionProbability

Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB

Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)

Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment

Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01

Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01

Municipal bond interest tax break limited by EOY?

Mar 20, 2:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

1110

919

Will Rewarding Efforts to Decrease Unrecycled Contaminants in Ecosystems (REDUCE) Act make it to a vote in congress?

Oct 4, 12:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.1%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

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Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Executive Orders
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Trump Administration Escalates Rollback of Race-Based Grants, Hits HSI and NIH Programs
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17 hours ago

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Acts of Congress News

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Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Will the United States engage in a war with another country by January 1, 2026?

SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?

US imposes secondary sanctions on Russia in 2025

Will the US judiciary remain independent by the end of Trump's term?

Will the next Congress repeal or substantially amend the Height Act?

Will the ROAD to Housing Act become law in 2025?

If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?

2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets

Municipal bond interest tax break limited by EOY?

Will Rewarding Efforts to Decrease Unrecycled Contaminants in Ecosystems (REDUCE) Act make it to a vote in congress?

Latest stories

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