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CEO Tontine - next three CEOs out will go to 100%, others to 0% - one Out
Jul 9, 9:43 PMDec 31, 10:25 PM
5537419
OptionProbability
100
100
100
50
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
Nov 19, 4:36 PMNov 27, 7:59 AM
5826717
OptionProbability
67
27
26
21
20
20
20
18
18
17
17
17
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
42
10
8
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
The Great AI Correction: Which company will be the largest casualty by 2030? - Add your guess!
Sep 27, 9:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
195247
OptionProbability
27
18
16
8
7
7
7
7
4
OptionVotes
995
10
Will the USA vs Adobe trial be dropped / dismissed / thrown out before it goes to trial?
Jun 17, 5:29 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
45%chance
17781
OptionVotes
1042
943
OptionProbability
65
37
28
22
12
2
How many of the top 100 companies will have a Square shaped Logo Icon by EOY 2028? (judged by CompaniesMarketCap)
Dec 9, 2:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
431
OptionProbability
25
16
13
12
10
8
8
8
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