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Top stories

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings

Authors

14

10 months ago

Prediction markets for AFP

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27167060

OptionProbability

No

Yes

99

1

Regime change in Cuba by 2030?

Jan 3, 8:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.56%chance

15528098

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1444

693

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?

Mar 3, 3:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.92%chance

7515730

OptionVotes

YES

NO

829

117

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.12%chance

507928

OptionVotes

NO

YES

985

948

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Mar 3, 3:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.35%chance

404321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1492

873

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.36%chance

492879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

151

Will the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?

Apr 3, 5:21 PMNov 5, 12:00 AM

78%chance

271529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

361

34

How many deaths will be reported as directly linked to South Africa’s 30 June 2026 anti-immigration shutdown/protests?

Jun 20, 8:40 PMJul 14, 9:59 PM

7531

OptionProbability

11-25

26-50

1-5

6-10

51-100

101-250

0

251-500

501-1000

>1000

25

16

15

14

9

6

4

4

4

3

Will the government of a European country propose to withdraw from NATO before August 1, 2026?

Apr 7, 11:50 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

8.38%chance

10348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

331

30

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Nov 17, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.17%chance

8243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

282

35

Will there be a VAR/refereeing controversy that causes a team to officially protest a World Cup 2026 group-stage result

Jun 16, 2:27 PMJun 28, 11:59 PM

68.38%chance

7177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

Will any country in the world have brain preservation as part of its healthcare system by 2040?

May 13, 6:05 PMDec 30, 10:59 PM

26.28%chance

787

OptionVotes

YES

NO

461

350

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Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Law
AI Products
Business
Apple Rejects Musk Claim It Favors ChatGPT in App Store Rankings
Authors
14
10 months ago

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